LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

$141.7K Vol
2026年9月7日
Active
確率トレンド
LYON 100.0%
Disguised 0.1%

コアサマリー

「LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Game 1 Winner が 9,995% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Game 2 Winner が 9,995% で2番手、Match Winner が 9,995% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $141.7K に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%):最も高い確率を持つ Game 1 Winner は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 9,995¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $55.8K の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Game 2 Winner は 9,995% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 9,995¢ で取引されています。
  • Match Winner (9,995%):9,995% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Match Winner に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5) (9,995%)、Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? (9,995%)、Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? (9,995%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$55.8K9995¢-9895¢
2Game 2 Winner9995.0%$52.9K9995¢-9895¢
3Match Winner9995.0%$53.5K9995¢-9895¢
4Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)9995.0%$30.8K9995¢-9895¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?9995.0%$2.2K9995¢-9895¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?9995.0%$949995¢-9895¢
7Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?9995.0%$6.4K9995¢-9895¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?9100.0%$109100¢-9000¢
9Both Teams Slay a Dragon9050.0%9050¢-8950¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Odd/Even Total Kills4900.0%$554900¢-4800¢
18Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?4650.0%$6644650¢-4550¢
19Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor950.0%950¢-850¢
20Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors950.0%950¢-850¢
21Any Player Quadra Kill950.0%950¢-850¢
22Any Player Penta Kill950.0%950¢-850¢
23Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor950.0%950¢-850¢
24Both Teams Slay a Dragon950.0%950¢-850¢
25Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors950.0%950¢-850¢
26Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?950.0%$10950¢-850¢
27Odd/Even Total Kills900.0%$55900¢-800¢
28First Blood in Game 1?900.0%$292900¢-800¢
29Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?900.0%$10900¢-800¢
30Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?900.0%$10900¢-800¢
31Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?900.0%$10900¢-800¢
32First Blood in Game 2?100.0%100¢
33Odd/Even Total Kills45.0%$5545¢55¢
34O/U 2.5 Games5.0%$6.7K95¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the LoL match between LYON and Disguised in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against Disguised.

This market will resolve to "Disguised" if Disguised win the match against LYON.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Sep 6, 2026

  • 08:35 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $103.01

    Bought 1716.9 Disguised for LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.06

  • 08:34 PM
    WIWINCP
    $22.14

    Bought 28.75 LYON for Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5) at 0.77

  • 08:34 PM
    WIWINCP
    $11.04

    Bought 12.99 LYON for LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner at 0.85

  • 08:34 PM
    WIWINCP
    $11.07

    Bought 12.87 LYON for LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner at 0.86

  • 08:32 PM
    ESESPORTSQUANT
    $11.26

    Bought 14.62 LYON for Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5) at 0.77

  • 08:32 PM
    ESESPORTSQUANT
    $14.45

    Bought 17 LYON for LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner at 0.85

  • 08:32 PM
    ESESPORTSQUANT
    $14.33

    Bought 16.66 LYON for LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner at 0.86

  • 08:21 PM
    KUkutsumiakia
    $729.04

    Bought 767.41 LYON for LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.95

  • 08:21 PM
    KUkutsumiakia
    $322.32

    Bought 342.89 LYON for LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.94

  • 08:18 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $1,790.47

    Bought 1904.76 LYON for LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.94

  • 08:18 PM
    RERemesal
    $30.00

    Bought 38.961034 LYON for Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5) at 0.77

  • 08:15 PM
    NINickIch
    $20.83

    Bought 90.56 Disguised for Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5) at 0.23

このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット

RE1
RevengeRange
イベント損益
+$2,537.10
出来高
$21,422.04
保有ポジション
LYONLYON
VA2
ValorieCat
イベント損益
+$2,680.93
出来高
$12,388.63
保有ポジション
LYON
TE3
teacherbai
イベント損益
+$811.21
出来高
$12,205.40
保有ポジション
LYONLYONLYON
TA4
TAIWANNUMBERONE
イベント損益
+$0.03
出来高
$11,999.97
保有ポジション
Disguised
A85
a8999
イベント損益
-$1,048.47
出来高
$11,719.75
保有ポジション
DisguisedOverDisguised+1
MA6
Malfunction.
イベント損益
+$85.13
出来高
$11,516.33
保有ポジション
LYONLYONLYON
TH7
THEHIGHLIFE
イベント損益
-$1,357.33
出来高
$10,442.75
保有ポジション
DisguisedDisguised
PR8
PROBABILITYTRADER
イベント損益
-$664.39
出来高
$8,332.51
保有ポジション
DisguisedDisguisedDisguised

よくある質問

「LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、Game 1 Winner が 9,995% の勝率で首位、続いて Game 2 Winner(9,995%)、Match Winner(9,995%)。このプールの総取引高は $141.7K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

無料で始める