LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

$1.6M Vol
2026年10月4日
Active
確率トレンド
FURIA Esports 100.0%
LOUD 0.1%

コアサマリー

「LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Game Handicap: FUR (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5) が 9,960% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? が 9,000% で2番手、Game 4 Winner が 4,950% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $1.6M に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • Game Handicap: FUR (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5) (9,960%):最も高い確率を持つ Game Handicap: FUR (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5) は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 9,960¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $5.0K の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? (9,000%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? は 9,000% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 9,000¢ で取引されています。
  • Game 4 Winner (4,950%):4,950% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Game 4 Winner に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:First Blood in Game 1? (1,000%)、Game 1 Winner (5%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、First Blood in Game 1? のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1Game Handicap: FUR (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)9960.0%$5.0K9960¢-9860¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?9000.0%$49000¢-8900¢
3Game 4 Winner4950.0%$3.7K4950¢-4850¢
4First Blood in Game 1?1000.0%$401000¢-900¢
5Game 1 Winner5.0%$376.8K5¢95¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the LoL Lower Bracket Final match between LOUD and FURIA Esports in the CBLOL Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win the match against FURIA Esports.

This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win the match against LOUD.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Oct 3, 2026

  • 12:48 PM
    DAdavigrulke
    $2.00

    Bought 5.128206 FURIA Esports for Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5) at 0.39

  • 12:42 PM
    YUYukihiranokoX
    $9.27

    Bought 23.769231 FURIA Esports for Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5) at 0.39

  • 10:45 AM
    KUkuwapt
    $3.64

    Bought 8.878049 LOUD for LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs at 0.41

  • 10:45 AM
    COcompoundingbrother
    $25.56

    Bought 42.6 FURIA Esports for LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs at 0.6

  • 10:45 AM
    MNmnogonado
    $544.48

    Bought 1328 LOUD for LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs at 0.41

  • 10:44 AM
    OKoknah
    $4.68

    Bought 12 FURIA Esports for Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5) at 0.39

  • 10:43 AM
    KUkuwapt
    $3.89

    Bought 9.487805 LOUD for LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs at 0.41

  • 10:43 AM
    MIMinne2507
    $100.06

    Bought 166.766667 FURIA Esports for LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs at 0.6

  • 10:40 AM
    SUsuntori
    $117.14

    Bought 212.981817 FURIA Esports for LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner at 0.55

  • 10:37 AM
    KUkuwapt
    $5.07

    Bought 12.365854 LOUD for LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs at 0.41

  • 10:37 AM
    MImit120
    $5.00

    Bought 8.33 FURIA Esports for LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs at 0.6

  • 10:22 AM
    LUludikgg
    $14.51

    Bought 35.390244 LOUD for LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs at 0.41

このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット

BR1
BrotherObama
イベント損益
+$243.41
出来高
$147,574.12
保有ポジション
LOUD
2C2
0x2c33…5465
イベント損益
-$200.00
出来高
$40,000.00
保有ポジション
FURIA Esports
TA3
TAIWANNUMBERONE
イベント損益
+$86.69
出来高
$30,334.94
保有ポジション
FURIA EsportsFURIA Esports
AR4
ArturitoFilito
イベント損益
+$127.78
出来高
$25,555.00
保有ポジション
FURIA Esports
SI5
SineNooneEI
イベント損益
-$74.55
出来高
$14,999.90
保有ポジション
FURIA Esports
FO6
FORTNITEMASTER888
イベント損益
+$70.23
出来高
$13,969.57
保有ポジション
LOUD
JI7
jizzbucket57
イベント損益
-$61.00
出来高
$12,200.00
保有ポジション
FURIA Esports
KI8
kingflop
イベント損益
+$50.52
出来高
$10,104.41
保有ポジション
FURIA Esports

よくある質問

「LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、Game Handicap: FUR (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5) が 9,960% の勝率で首位、続いて Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?(9,000%)、Game 4 Winner(4,950%)。このプールの総取引高は $1.6M に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

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