LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

$384.8K Vol
2026年9月20日
Active
確率トレンド
Karmine Corp 72.5%
Movistar KOI 27.5%

コアサマリー

「LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Match Winner が 7,250% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。O/U 3.5 Games が 6,750% で2番手、Game 1 Winner が 6,350% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $384.8K に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • Match Winner (7,250%):最も高い確率を持つ Match Winner は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 7,250¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $134.6K の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • O/U 3.5 Games (6,750%):最も有力な対抗馬として、O/U 3.5 Games は 6,750% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 6,750¢ で取引されています。
  • Game 1 Winner (6,350%):6,350% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Game 1 Winner に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Game 2 Winner (6,350%)、Game 3 Winner (6,350%)、Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? (6,300%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3? のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1Match Winner7250.0%$134.6K7250¢-7150¢
2O/U 3.5 Games6750.0%$9.8K6750¢-6650¢
3Game 1 Winner6350.0%$2.2K6350¢-6250¢
4Game 2 Winner6350.0%$1006350¢-6250¢
5Game 3 Winner6350.0%6350¢-6250¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?6300.0%$26300¢-6200¢
7Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?6300.0%6300¢-6200¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?6250.0%$806250¢-6150¢
9Odd/Even Total Kills6100.0%6100¢-6000¢
10Odd/Even Total Kills6050.0%6050¢-5950¢
11Game 4 Winner5950.0%$235950¢-5850¢
12Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)5350.0%$228.2K5350¢-5250¢
13First Blood in Game 3?5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
14First Blood in Game 4?5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
33Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
34Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
35Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
36Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
37Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
38Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
39Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
40Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
41Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
42Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
43Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
44Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?4950.0%$7.1K4950¢-4850¢
45First Blood in Game 2?4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
46Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?4900.0%$124900¢-4800¢
47Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?4700.0%$1664700¢-4600¢
48Odd/Even Total Kills3800.0%3800¢-3700¢
49O/U 4.5 Games3050.0%$7833050¢-2950¢
50First Blood in Game 1?3000.0%3000¢-2900¢
51Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Movistar KOI (+2.5)2650.0%$1.7K2650¢-2550¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Karmine Corp and Movistar KOI in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against Movistar KOI.

This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win the match against Karmine Corp.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Sep 19, 2026

  • 12:14 PM
    LELeslielin
    $155.47

    Bought 304.85 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.51

  • 12:12 PM
    DADaWinci
    $54.32

    Bought 208.94 Movistar KOI for LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs at 0.26

  • 12:12 PM
    $2.00

    Bought 4.25532 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 12:12 PM
    JAjarqm1
    $6.00

    Bought 12.76 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 12:12 PM
    YQyqsl
    $22.51

    Bought 47.893618 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 12:12 PM
    TATarnished.
    $2.64

    Bought 5.617022 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 12:11 PM
    HIHi3212
    $10.00

    Bought 21.276596 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 12:11 PM
    $75.19

    Bought 159.97 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 12:11 PM
    OWowvyby1d35ui
    $8.00

    Bought 17.021277 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 12:11 PM
    DRdrunkdegenerate
    $4,502.17

    Bought 9787.33 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) at 0.46

  • 12:11 PM
    DJDJMathiew
    $6.93

    Bought 26.653847 Movistar KOI for LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs at 0.26

  • 12:11 PM
    GOGOODFOODPOGGIES
    $41.86

    Bought 91 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) at 0.46

このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット

PA1
patient-artisan
イベント損益
+$35.69
出来高
$3,211.96
保有ポジション
Movistar KOI
JU2
JuiceFarm
イベント損益
-$37.74
出来高
$2,516.07
保有ポジション
Karmine CorpKarmine Corp
QW3
qwweqrwewe
イベント損益
-$9.00
出来高
$1,800.00
保有ポジション
Karmine Corp
BY4
BYTasb1
イベント損益
+$8.15
出来高
$1,630.43
保有ポジション
Movistar KOI
VI5
vibing123
イベント損益
+$24.26
出来高
$1,617.12
保有ポジション
Movistar KOI
BO6
Boss7
イベント損益
+$6.50
出来高
$1,299.99
保有ポジション
Movistar KOI
AV7
avooo
イベント損益
+$18.51
出来高
$1,233.99
保有ポジション
Movistar KOI
CH8
chasingakiacar5
イベント損益
-$5.12
出来高
$1,024.88
保有ポジション
Karmine Corp

よくある質問

「LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、Match Winner が 7,250% の勝率で首位、続いて O/U 3.5 Games(6,750%)、Game 1 Winner(6,350%)。このプールの総取引高は $384.8K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

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