
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - LES Final Four
コアサマリー
「LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - LES Final Four」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。
現在、O/U 3.5 Games が 9,995% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。O/U 4.5 Games が 9,995% で2番手、Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor が 9,050% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $381K に達し、高い関心を示しています。
競争ティアの内訳
各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:
🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー
- O/U 3.5 Games (9,995%):最も高い確率を持つ O/U 3.5 Games は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 9,995¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $516 の出来高を生んでいます。
🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬
- O/U 4.5 Games (9,995%):最も有力な対抗馬として、O/U 4.5 Games は 9,995% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 9,995¢ で取引されています。
- Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (9,050%):9,050% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。
🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)
トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:
- 代替選択肢:Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,050%)、Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (9,050%)、Odd/Even Total Kills (5,050%) などが含まれます。
- 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Any Player Quadra Kill のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。
包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード
以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:
| 順位 | 予測結果 | 勝率 | 取引高 | Yes 購入(コスト) | No 購入(コスト) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 3.5 Games | 9995.0% | $516 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | O/U 4.5 Games | 9995.0% | $138 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 5 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 6 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5050.0% | $43 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 7 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Any Player Penta Kill | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 14 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 950.0% | $43 | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 15 | Game Handicap: HRTS (-2.5) vs Movistar KOI Fénix (+2.5) | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 16 | Game Handicap: MKF (-1.5) vs Team Heretics Academy (+1.5) | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 17 | Game Handicap: MKF (-2.5) vs Team Heretics Academy (+2.5) | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 18 | Game 4 Winner | 5.0% | $68.7K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 19 | Match Winner | 5.0% | $83.4K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 20 | Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI Fénix (+1.5) | 5.0% | $122 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
判定ルール
This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Team Heretics Academy and Movistar KOI Fénix in the LES Final Four, initially scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Team Heretics Academy" if Team Heretics Academy win the match against Movistar KOI Fénix.
This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI Fénix" if Movistar KOI Fénix win the match against Team Heretics Academy.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 6, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
取引アクティビティ
このイベントの取引アクティビティです。
Sep 6, 2026
- 08:45 AMPRpredictesport$12.50
Bought 24.509802 Team Heretics Academy for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - LES Final Four at 0.51
- 08:34 AMELElyoyafanboy$1.00
Bought 2 Movistar KOI Fénix for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - LES Final Four at 0.5
- 08:32 AMGAgabron13$1.00
Bought 2 Movistar KOI Fénix for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - LES Final Four at 0.5
- 08:04 AMAGAGBetsCo$6.71
Bought 9.867646 Movistar KOI Fénix for Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI Fénix (+1.5) at 0.68
- 07:17 AMAGAGBetsCo$2.34
Bought 8.666665 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.27
- 07:10 AMYOYosooooooo$1.88
Bought 3.686273 Team Heretics Academy for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - LES Final Four at 0.51
- 07:10 AMYOYosooooooo$1.88
Bought 3.76 Movistar KOI Fénix for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - LES Final Four at 0.5
- 07:06 AMAGAGBetsCo$1.63
Bought 6.037036 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.27
- 07:05 AMYOYosooooooo$1.88
Bought 3.76 Movistar KOI Fénix for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - LES Final Four at 0.5
- 07:05 AMYOYosooooooo$1.88
Bought 3.686273 Team Heretics Academy for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - LES Final Four at 0.51
- 06:17 AMLULukasz273$24.00
Bought 48 Team Heretics Academy for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - LES Final Four at 0.5
- 05:41 AM0X0x3252dE913d9323667f21F4d88fA1F996fC282293-1720383165418$4.94
Bought 6.5 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.76
このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット
よくある質問
「LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - LES Final Four」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?
最新の更新時点で、O/U 3.5 Games が 9,995% の勝率で首位、続いて O/U 4.5 Games(9,995%)、Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor(9,050%)。このプールの総取引高は $381K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。
