LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming (BO5) - LIT Playoffs

$32.9K Vol
2026年9月4日
Active
確率トレンド
HMBLE 90.5%
Colossal Gaming 9.6%

コアサマリー

「LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming (BO5) - LIT Playoffs」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Game 1 Winner が 9,995% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Match Winner が 9,000% で2番手、Game 3 Winner が 8,980% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $32.9K に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%):最も高い確率を持つ Game 1 Winner は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 9,995¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $14.8K の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Match Winner (9,000%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Match Winner は 9,000% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 9,000¢ で取引されています。
  • Game 3 Winner (8,980%):8,980% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Game 3 Winner に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Game 2 Winner (6,950%)、Game 4 Winner (5,000%)、Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Both Teams Slay a Dragon のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$14.8K9995¢-9895¢
2Match Winner9000.0%$4.3K9000¢-8900¢
3Game 3 Winner8980.0%$4.3K8980¢-8880¢
4Game 2 Winner6950.0%$4.3K6950¢-6850¢
5Game 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
33Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
34Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
35Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
36O/U 4.5 Games3850.0%$1.9K3850¢-3750¢
37O/U 3.5 Games2650.0%$3.4K2650¢-2550¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between HMBLE and Colossal Gaming in the LIT Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "HMBLE" if HMBLE win the match against Colossal Gaming.

This market will resolve to "Colossal Gaming" if Colossal Gaming win the match against HMBLE.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Sep 3, 2026

  • 09:09 AM
    0X0x0c330baa07d0b6F498AD3f273339E0429090E0DA-1776279116069
    $6.25

    Bought 28.4 Colossal Gaming for LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming - Game 2 Winner at 0.22

  • 09:00 AM
    AMam100
    $90.30

    Bought 105 HMBLE for LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming (BO5) - LIT Playoffs at 0.86

  • 08:41 AM
    0X0x6918EA182D963b1Fb7888860b8a8b8bCfbA5782b-1771878010027
    $4.37

    Bought 5.2 HMBLE for LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming (BO5) - LIT Playoffs at 0.84

  • 04:00 AM
    $1.00

    Bought 1.184833 HMBLE for LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming (BO5) - LIT Playoffs at 0.84

  • 02:41 AM
    BIbihtwez
    $36.96

    Sold 231 Colossal Gaming for LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming (BO5) - LIT Playoffs at 0.16

  • 12:06 AM
    BIbihtwez
    $44.19

    Bought 232.581707 Colossal Gaming for LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming (BO5) - LIT Playoffs at 0.19

Sep 2, 2026

  • 11:29 PM
    JZjzr09
    $5.01

    Bought 5.959472 HMBLE for LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming (BO5) - LIT Playoffs at 0.84

  • 10:57 PM
    BIbihtwez
    $25.92

    Sold 162 Colossal Gaming for LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming (BO5) - LIT Playoffs at 0.16

  • 10:22 PM
    SEself-defence
    $27.43

    Bought 33.05 HMBLE for LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming (BO5) - LIT Playoffs at 0.83

  • 10:19 PM
    $4.25

    Bought 5 HMBLE for LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming (BO5) - LIT Playoffs at 0.85

  • 10:19 PM
    SEself-defence
    $37.93

    Bought 45.7 HMBLE for LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming (BO5) - LIT Playoffs at 0.83

  • 10:16 PM
    SEself-defence
    $72.66

    Bought 89.7 HMBLE for LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming (BO5) - LIT Playoffs at 0.81

このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット

WA1
wangyou1288
イベント損益
-$225.51
出来高
$10,146.03
保有ポジション
HMBLEHMBLEUnder
EZ2
ezMerge
イベント損益
+$2.52
出来高
$5,049.28
保有ポジション
HMBLE
MA3
MaybeYesMaybeNoMaybe
イベント損益
-$296.00
出来高
$4,000.00
保有ポジション
Colossal Gaming
694
0x6918…0027
イベント損益
+$62.93
出来高
$3,072.84
保有ポジション
UnderUnderHMBLE+1
675
0x67a5…4782
イベント損益
-$16.50
出来高
$1,847.28
保有ポジション
OverColossal Gaming
646
0x6407…6364
イベント損益
-$28.88
出来高
$1,527.59
保有ポジション
OverOver
CA7
CAcap
イベント損益
-$12.50
出来高
$1,500.00
保有ポジション
OverColossal Gaming
FU8
Future-Tarot-Trader
イベント損益
+$10.51
出来高
$1,035.11
保有ポジション
HMBLEColossal Gaming

よくある質問

「LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming (BO5) - LIT Playoffs」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、Game 1 Winner が 9,995% の勝率で首位、続いて Match Winner(9,000%)、Game 3 Winner(8,980%)。このプールの総取引高は $32.9K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

無料で始める