
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
コアサマリー
「LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。
現在、Game 2 Winner が 9,995% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。O/U 3.5 Games が 9,995% で2番手、Both Teams Slay a Dragon が 9,950% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $1.7M に達し、高い関心を示しています。
競争ティアの内訳
各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:
🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー
- Game 2 Winner (9,995%):最も高い確率を持つ Game 2 Winner は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 9,995¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $558.2K の出来高を生んでいます。
🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬
- O/U 3.5 Games (9,995%):最も有力な対抗馬として、O/U 3.5 Games は 9,995% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 9,995¢ で取引されています。
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,950%):9,950% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Both Teams Slay a Dragon に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。
🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)
トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:
- 代替選択肢:Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (9,950%)、Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? (9,950%)、Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4? (7,400%) などが含まれます。
- 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、First Blood in Game 3? のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。
包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード
以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:
| 順位 | 予測結果 | 勝率 | 取引高 | Yes 購入(コスト) | No 購入(コスト) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 2 Winner | 9995.0% | $558.2K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | O/U 3.5 Games | 9995.0% | $19.9K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 4 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 9950.0% | $355 | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 5 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? | 9950.0% | $310 | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 6 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4? | 7400.0% | — | 7400¢ | -7300¢ |
| 7 | First Blood in Game 3? | 6750.0% | — | 6750¢ | -6650¢ |
| 8 | Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) | 5650.0% | $21.3K | 5650¢ | -5550¢ |
| 9 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5155.0% | — | 5155¢ | -5055¢ |
| 10 | Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1? | 5050.0% | $10 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 11 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | First Blood in Game 1? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? | 5000.0% | $497 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3? | 5000.0% | $2 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 5000.0% | $386 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1? | 5000.0% | $10 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 3? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 49 | First Blood in Game 4? | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 50 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 51 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 52 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 53 | First Blood in Game 2? | 4800.0% | $55 | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 54 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 55 | Game 4 Winner | 4350.0% | $204 | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 56 | O/U 4.5 Games | 4200.0% | $4.2K | 4200¢ | -4100¢ |
| 57 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 58 | Match Winner | 2150.0% | $254.1K | 2150¢ | -2050¢ |
| 59 | Game 3 Winner | 50.0% | $506.7K | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 60 | Game Handicap: GX (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5) | 50.0% | $10 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 61 | Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 62 | Game 1 Winner | 5.0% | $535.9K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 63 | Game Handicap: Navi (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) | 5.0% | $2.3K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
判定ルール
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between GIANTX and Natus Vincere in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX win the match against Natus Vincere.
This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against GIANTX.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
取引アクティビティ
このイベントの取引アクティビティです。
Sep 11, 2026
- 10:03 AMXIxipsetillo$12.00
Bought 27.272728 GIANTX for LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs at 0.44
- 09:37 AMRTrtmluck$10.00
Bought 17.54386 Natus Vincere for LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs at 0.57
- 09:37 AMBRbravegamer$2.50
Bought 3.846154 Under for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.65
- 09:35 AMCRCRYPT1C$30.00
Bought 36.144576 GIANTX for Game Handicap: Navi (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) at 0.83
- 09:35 AMCCcccop111$1.91
Bought 10.611112 Natus Vincere for Game Handicap: Navi (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) at 0.18
- 09:35 AMCRCRYPT1C$20.00
Bought 35.08772 Natus Vincere for LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs at 0.57
- 09:24 AM——$5.00
Bought 8.77193 Natus Vincere for LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs at 0.57
- 09:24 AM——$2.60
Bought 5.909091 GIANTX for LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs at 0.44
- 09:23 AMYOYosooooooo$3.89
Bought 6.824562 Natus Vincere for LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs at 0.57
- 09:22 AMRARachitdeveloper$3.00
Bought 6.818182 GIANTX for LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs at 0.44
- 09:16 AM0X0x0dfd9BA937CF74fCdB7F542AD9E65858C126F132-1786074019306$3.89
Bought 8.84091 GIANTX for LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs at 0.44
- 09:12 AMRARachitdeveloper$21.30
Bought 37.36842 Natus Vincere for LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs at 0.57
このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット
よくある質問
「LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?
最新の更新時点で、Game 2 Winner が 9,995% の勝率で首位、続いて O/U 3.5 Games(9,995%)、Both Teams Slay a Dragon(9,950%)。このプールの総取引高は $1.7M に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。
