LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

$111K Vol
2026年9月26日
Active
確率トレンド
FlyQuest 78.5%
Shopify Rebellion 21.5%

コアサマリー

「LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Match Winner が 7,850% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Game 1 Winner が 6,750% で2番手、Game 2 Winner が 6,550% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $111K に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • Match Winner (7,850%):最も高い確率を持つ Match Winner は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 7,850¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $54.9K の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Game 1 Winner (6,750%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Game 1 Winner は 6,750% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 6,750¢ で取引されています。
  • Game 2 Winner (6,550%):6,550% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Game 2 Winner に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Game 3 Winner (6,500%)、O/U 3.5 Games (6,450%)、Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) (6,050%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Game 4 Winner のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1Match Winner7850.0%$54.9K7850¢-7750¢
2Game 1 Winner6750.0%$8.3K6750¢-6650¢
3Game 2 Winner6550.0%$3046550¢-6450¢
4Game 3 Winner6500.0%$1.7K6500¢-6400¢
5O/U 3.5 Games6450.0%$29.5K6450¢-6350¢
6Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)6050.0%$9.5K6050¢-5950¢
7Game 4 Winner5850.0%$105850¢-5750¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?5400.0%—5400¢-5300¢
9Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?5350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
10Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
11Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?5200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill5150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
13Odd/Even Total Kills5100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
14Odd/Even Total Kills5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36First Blood in Game 4?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37First Blood in Game 3?4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
38Odd/Even Total Kills4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
39First Blood in Game 1?4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
40First Blood in Game 2?4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
41Odd/Even Total Kills4650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
42Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?3950.0%$23950¢-3850¢
43Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?3850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
44Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?3800.0%$103800¢-3700¢
45Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?3800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
46Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?3750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
47Game Handicap: FLY (-2.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+2.5)2950.0%$2.7K2950¢-2850¢
48O/U 4.5 Games2750.0%$5.0K2750¢-2650¢
49Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
50Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
51Any Player Penta Kill1500.0%—1500¢-1400¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal match between FlyQuest and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win the match against Shopify Rebellion.

This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against FlyQuest.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Sep 25, 2026

  • 10:18 AM
    SAsappireflames000
    $4.00

    Bought 5.405403 Shopify Rebellion for Game Handicap: FLY (-2.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+2.5) at 0.74

  • 10:10 AM
    ——
    $98.57

    Bought 131.426664 FlyQuest for LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.75

  • 09:22 AM
    0X0x54A28f8766114EFE6Cb8dF1b8AdC285Fb3B41b7d-1787410701149
    $2.52

    Bought 3.36 FlyQuest for LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.75

  • 09:06 AM
    BIbiba228
    $301.60

    Bought 464 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.65

  • 09:06 AM
    AMameisgoat11
    $1.30

    Bought 5 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.26

  • 09:04 AM
    FOFORTNITEMASTER888
    $2,910.55

    Bought 3933.18 FlyQuest for LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.74

  • 09:02 AM
    LEletshope
    $5.00

    Bought 7.69 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.65

  • 09:02 AM
    RARashidrush
    $91.59

    Bought 140.904 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.65

  • 09:00 AM
    AMam100
    $55.50

    Bought 154.16 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.36

  • 08:52 AM
    NInigiri99
    $36.83

    Bought 127 Over for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.29

  • 08:36 AM
    CHcharay12
    $16.00

    Sold 25 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.64

  • 08:34 AM
    ALAlbedo00
    $681.49

    Bought 1064.83 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.64

このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット

TA1
TAIWANNUMBERONE
イベント損益
+$88.61
出来高
$18,288.76
保有ポジション
UnderFlyQuestFlyQuest
ZZ2
Zzzz87
イベント損益
-$38.81
出来高
$10,501.00
保有ポジション
FlyQuestShopify Rebellion
CS3
csgamer11
イベント損益
-$31.22
出来高
$9,743.96
保有ポジション
Over
SK4
skadii
イベント損益
-$347.28
出来高
$9,646.54
保有ポジション
UnderUnderShopify Rebellion
FF5
0xff6b…3807
イベント損益
-$37.55
出来高
$7,511.52
保有ポジション
Over
CA6
CAcap
イベント損益
-$62.84
出来高
$5,600.41
保有ポジション
OverShopify RebellionOver+3
697
0x6918…0027
イベント損益
+$12.02
出来高
$5,027.52
保有ポジション
UnderUnder
FR8
freeman123
イベント損益
+$12.01
出来高
$4,460.15
保有ポジション
FlyQuest

よくある質問

「LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、Match Winner が 7,850% の勝率で首位、続いて Game 1 Winner(6,750%)、Game 2 Winner(6,550%)。このプールの総取引高は $111K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

無料で始める