LoL: Disguised vs Maryville University (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs

$591.7K Vol
2026年10月8日
Active
確率トレンド
Maryville University 100.0%
Disguised 0.1%

コアサマリー

「LoL: Disguised vs Maryville University (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Game 3 Winner が 9,995% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。O/U 3.5 Games が 9,995% で2番手、Both Teams Slay a Dragon が 9,995% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $591.7K に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • Game 3 Winner (9,995%):最も高い確率を持つ Game 3 Winner は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 9,995¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $249.0K の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • O/U 3.5 Games (9,995%):最も有力な対抗馬として、O/U 3.5 Games は 9,995% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 9,995¢ で取引されています。
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,995%):9,995% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Both Teams Slay a Dragon に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5) (9,995%)、Odd/Even Total Kills (9,050%)、Odd/Even Total Kills (9,000%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Odd/Even Total Kills のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1Game 3 Winner9995.0%$249.0K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 3.5 Games9995.0%$5.3K9995¢-9895¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
4Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
5Odd/Even Total Kills9050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
6Odd/Even Total Kills9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
7Odd/Even Total Kills7450.0%—7450¢-7350¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon5155.0%—5155¢-5055¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
23Any Player Penta Kill1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
24Any Player Quadra Kill950.0%—950¢-850¢
25Any Player Penta Kill950.0%—950¢-850¢
26Both Teams Slay a Dragon945.0%—945¢-845¢
27Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50.0%—50¢50¢
28Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50.0%—50¢50¢
29Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50.0%—50¢50¢
30Both Teams Slay a Dragon50.0%—50¢50¢
31Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50.0%—50¢50¢
32Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50.0%—50¢50¢
33Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50.0%—50¢50¢
34Game 1 Winner5.0%$95.3K5¢95¢
35Game 2 Winner5.0%$132.4K5¢95¢
36Game 4 Winner5.0%$150.9K5¢95¢
37Match Winner5.0%$265.1K5¢95¢
38O/U 4.5 Games5.0%$5.8K5¢95¢
39Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5)5.0%$3.7K5¢95¢
40Game Handicap: DSG (-2.5) vs Maryville University (+2.5)5.0%$7.8K5¢95¢
41Game Handicap: MVU (-2.5) vs Disguised (+2.5)5.0%—5¢95¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Disguised and Maryville University in the LCS Promotion Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Disguised" if Disguised win the match against Maryville University.

This market will resolve to "Maryville University" if Maryville University win the match against Disguised.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 7, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Oct 7, 2026

  • 01:52 PM
    SMsm8926523
    $4.67

    Bought 8.06 Disguised for Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5) at 0.58

  • 01:52 PM
    NOno1dodgersfan
    $75.17

    Bought 178.97 Maryville University for Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5) at 0.42

  • 01:51 PM
    0X0xa3B5dA76FfBBE3325BB1b40A30f6A4634962941a-1777921240736
    $24.04

    Bought 41.44 Disguised for Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5) at 0.58

  • 01:51 PM
    SMsm8926523
    $3.98

    Bought 6.75 Disguised for Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5) at 0.59

  • 01:50 PM
    NOno1dodgersfan
    $60.67

    Bought 144.45 Maryville University for Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5) at 0.42

  • 01:50 PM
    SMsm8926523
    $4.53

    Bought 7.81 Disguised for Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5) at 0.58

  • 01:50 PM
    0X0xa3B5dA76FfBBE3325BB1b40A30f6A4634962941a-1777921240736
    $26.10

    Bought 45 Disguised for Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5) at 0.58

  • 01:50 PM
    0X0xa3B5dA76FfBBE3325BB1b40A30f6A4634962941a-1777921240736
    $32.00

    Bought 100 Disguised for Game Handicap: DSG (-2.5) vs Maryville University (+2.5) at 0.32

  • 01:50 PM
    0X0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0
    $0.96

    Bought 3 Disguised for Game Handicap: DSG (-2.5) vs Maryville University (+2.5) at 0.32

  • 01:29 PM
    NOno1dodgersfan
    $2.59

    Bought 6.17 Maryville University for Game Handicap: DSG (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5) at 0.42

  • 01:23 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $8.40

    Bought 12.537312 Disguised for LoL: Disguised vs Maryville University - Game 2 Winner at 0.67

  • 01:04 PM
    BYBYTasb1
    $83.00

    Bought 120.289854 Maryville University for Game Handicap: DSG (-2.5) vs Maryville University (+2.5) at 0.69

このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット

691
0x6918…0027
イベント損益
+$55.43
出来高
$7,844.76
保有ポジション
UnderUnderDisguised+3
BY2
BYTasb1
イベント損益
-$13.74
出来高
$4,712.41
保有ポジション
OverOverMaryville University+1
NS3
ns9z
イベント損益
-$99.19
出来高
$4,299.78
保有ポジション
DisguisedDisguised
LO4
loldot
イベント損益
-$30.81
出来高
$2,468.95
保有ポジション
DisguisedOverOver
AN5
antec
イベント損益
-$16.72
出来高
$1,889.91
保有ポジション
Maryville UniversityDisguisedOver+4
NO6
no1dodgersfan
イベント損益
+$2.04
出来高
$1,769.95
保有ポジション
Maryville UniversityMaryville UniversityMaryville University+3
CS7
csgamer11
イベント損益
+$43.27
出来高
$1,716.99
保有ポジション
Maryville University
PU8
purplegatto
イベント損益
+$0.51
出来高
$1,395.88
保有ポジション
Maryville University

よくある質問

「LoL: Disguised vs Maryville University (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、Game 3 Winner が 9,995% の勝率で首位、続いて O/U 3.5 Games(9,995%)、Both Teams Slay a Dragon(9,995%)。このプールの総取引高は $591.7K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

無料で始める