LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

$102.8K Vol
2026年9月13日
Active
確率トレンド
Cloud9 84.5%
Shopify Rebellion 15.5%

コアサマリー

「LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Match Winner が 8,450% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Game 1 Winner が 7,050% で2番手、Game 2 Winner が 7,050% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $102.8K に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • Match Winner (8,450%):最も高い確率を持つ Match Winner は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 8,450¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $70.5K の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Game 1 Winner (7,050%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Game 1 Winner は 7,050% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 7,050¢ で取引されています。
  • Game 2 Winner (7,050%):7,050% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Game 2 Winner に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Game 3 Winner (6,950%)、Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) (6,950%)、Game 4 Winner (6,250%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、O/U 3.5 Games のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1Match Winner8450.0%$70.5K8450¢-8350¢
2Game 1 Winner7050.0%$1.3K7050¢-6950¢
3Game 2 Winner7050.0%$7567050¢-6950¢
4Game 3 Winner6950.0%$1796950¢-6850¢
5Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)6950.0%$15.5K6950¢-6850¢
6Game 4 Winner6250.0%$1.7K6250¢-6150¢
7O/U 3.5 Games5750.0%$8.6K5750¢-5650¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?5550.0%5550¢-5450¢
9Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?5500.0%5500¢-5400¢
10Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?5450.0%5450¢-5350¢
11Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?5450.0%5450¢-5350¢
12Both Teams Slay a Dragon5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
13Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
14Both Teams Slay a Dragon5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
15Any Player Quadra Kill5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
16Both Teams Slay a Dragon5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
17Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
18Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
33Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
34Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
35Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
36First Blood in Game 2?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
37Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
38First Blood in Game 4?4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
39First Blood in Game 3?4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
40Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
41Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
42Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4800.0%4800¢-4700¢
43Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?4400.0%4400¢-4300¢
44Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?4100.0%4100¢-4000¢
45Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?4100.0%4100¢-4000¢
46Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+2.5)4050.0%$5.1K4050¢-3950¢
47Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?4000.0%$6.3K4000¢-3900¢
48Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
49Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
50O/U 4.5 Games2250.0%$4.1K2250¢-2150¢
51Any Player Penta Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Cloud9 and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win the match against Shopify Rebellion.

This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against Cloud9.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 12, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Sep 12, 2026

  • 10:52 AM
    HOHopelessPlayer
    $1.91

    Bought 3.031745 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.63

  • 10:52 AM
    XZxzc52
    $39.10

    Bought 102.894737 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.38

  • 10:40 AM
    KAKalp0703
    $3.50

    Bought 9.210527 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.38

  • 10:10 AM
    0X0x3252dE913d9323667f21F4d88fA1F996fC282293-1720383165418
    $4.92

    Bought 6.929575 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner at 0.71

  • 10:09 AM
    KIkiwiiw
    $4.00

    Bought 22.222223 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.18

  • 09:59 AM
    QFqfq44
    $29.00

    Bought 34.939758 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.83

  • 09:36 AM
    0X0x978BD4DB4c26bB0Be145b5A95b1113Bba6692aDd-1771856332657
    $1.10

    Sold 5 Over for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.22

  • 09:30 AM
    HHhhhgggsss
    $24.09

    Bought 75.27 Shopify Rebellion for Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) at 0.32

  • 09:30 AM
    HHhhhgggsss
    $17.81

    Bought 55.67 Shopify Rebellion for Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) at 0.32

  • 09:26 AM
    KOkocjo4vj
    $25.00

    Bought 30.120482 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.83

  • 09:14 AM
    2323kka
    $23.00

    Bought 27.710841 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.83

  • 09:13 AM
    0X0x95527cA5a4295A44c4fEbB85F16f66b8252E2520-1767597674753
    $3.47

    Bought 5.028983 Cloud9 for Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) at 0.69

このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット

B71
0xB70c…8717
イベント損益
-$8.33
出来高
$29,973.09
保有ポジション
Cloud9Cloud9
TA2
TAIWANNUMBERONE
イベント損益
+$82.47
出来高
$15,653.51
保有ポジション
Cloud9Cloud9
AN3
Anjun
イベント損益
+$66.67
出来高
$13,333.23
保有ポジション
Shopify Rebellion
BY4
BYTasb001
イベント損益
-$43.75
出来高
$8,750.00
保有ポジション
Shopify Rebellion
695
0x6918…0027
イベント損益
+$5.39
出来高
$7,406.41
保有ポジション
UnderUnderCloud9+3
SI6
SimpleTony
イベント損益
+$27.50
出来高
$5,500.00
保有ポジション
Shopify Rebellion
PU7
purplegatto
イベント損益
-$75.51
出来高
$5,070.49
保有ポジション
Shopify Rebellion
KI8
kingflop
イベント損益
+$21.57
出来高
$4,309.73
保有ポジション
Shopify RebellionOver

よくある質問

「LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、Match Winner が 8,450% の勝率で首位、続いて Game 1 Winner(7,050%)、Game 2 Winner(7,050%)。このプールの総取引高は $102.8K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

無料で始める