LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

$101K Vol
2026年11月9日
Active
確率トレンド
Bilibili Gaming 56.5%
T1 43.5%

コアサマリー

「LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、O/U 3.5 Games が 7,350% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Match Winner が 5,650% で2番手、Game 1 Winner が 5,450% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $101K に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,350%):最も高い確率を持つ O/U 3.5 Games は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 7,350¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $3.3K の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Match Winner (5,650%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Match Winner は 5,650% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 5,650¢ で取引されています。
  • Game 1 Winner (5,450%):5,450% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Game 1 Winner に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Game 2 Winner (5,450%)、Game 3 Winner (5,450%)、Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Both Teams Slay a Dragon のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1O/U 3.5 Games7350.0%$3.3K7350¢-7250¢
2Match Winner5650.0%$94.7K5650¢-5550¢
3Game 1 Winner5450.0%$385450¢-5350¢
4Game 2 Winner5450.0%$185450¢-5350¢
5Game 3 Winner5450.0%$285450¢-5350¢
6Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Game 4 Winner4350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
32Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)3900.0%$2.4K3900¢-3800¢
33O/U 4.5 Games3550.0%$4273550¢-3450¢
34Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5)1550.0%$811550¢-1450¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the LoL Semifinal 1 match between Bilibili Gaming and T1 in the Worlds Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against T1.

This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against Bilibili Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 22, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Nov 7, 2026

  • 01:50 PM
    LILILIXUAN
    $429.88

    Bought 754.175439 Bilibili Gaming for LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.57

  • 01:49 PM
    QIqianmokanojyo
    $3.00

    Bought 5.263158 Bilibili Gaming for LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.57

  • 01:49 PM
    RERekiSilent
    $19.26

    Bought 43.772728 T1 for LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.44

  • 01:49 PM
    0X0x17d3F0303EB5897703866628606382586CB40730-1782223583298
    $283.35

    Bought 497.105264 Bilibili Gaming for LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.57

  • 01:46 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $14.28

    Bought 32.454546 T1 for LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.44

  • 01:40 PM
    KEkerryshi
    $5.00

    Bought 8.77193 Bilibili Gaming for LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.57

  • 01:38 PM
    KRkrakokro1
    $726.33

    Sold 1689.13 T1 for LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.43

  • 01:38 PM
    0X0x7511237bc5dcbb694ac10738ef9ec68011697d58-1793761890815
    $1.70

    Bought 2.982457 Bilibili Gaming for LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.57

  • 01:37 PM
    EQeqeqwfjqj
    $50.00

    Bought 113.636364 T1 for LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.44

  • 01:35 PM
    EQeqeqwfjqj
    $50.00

    Bought 113.636364 T1 for LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.44

  • 01:33 PM
    MEMeownopaws
    $1.00

    Bought 2.272728 T1 for LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.44

  • 01:32 PM
    FOfond03
    $10.00

    Bought 22.727273 T1 for LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.44

このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット

KA1
KateBollinger
イベント損益
+$31.44
出来高
$36,317.95
保有ポジション
Bilibili Gaming
IM2
imjustalarp
イベント損益
-$50.00
出来高
$10,000.00
保有ポジション
T1
GA3
GAMBLINGISCANCER69
イベント損益
+$18.31
出来高
$8,796.73
保有ポジション
T1T1
JE4
Jeiss
イベント損益
-$33.15
出来高
$6,632.23
保有ポジション
T1
XI5
xiaxxxx
イベント損益
+$17.76
出来高
$5,833.26
保有ポジション
Bilibili GamingUnder
KI6
KINGCHAMA
イベント損益
-$22.93
出来高
$4,592.75
保有ポジション
T1
IQ7
Iqosnxjdk
イベント損益
-$10.84
出来高
$4,172.68
保有ポジション
T1
TH8
TheOldCaptain.
イベント損益
-$18.52
出来高
$3,705.68
保有ポジション
Bilibili Gaming

よくある質問

「LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、O/U 3.5 Games が 7,350% の勝率で首位、続いて Match Winner(5,650%)、Game 1 Winner(5,450%)。このプールの総取引高は $101K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

取引を始める