Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner

2026年11月4日
Active
確率トレンド
Angie Nixon (D) 46.5%
Ashley Moody (R) 39.5%

コアサマリー

「Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Angie Nixon (D) が 4,250% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Ashley Moody (R) が 4,250% で2番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに — に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • Angie Nixon (D) (4,250%):最も高い確率を持つ Angie Nixon (D) は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 4,250¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Ashley Moody (R) (4,250%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Ashley Moody (R) は 4,250% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 4,250¢ で取引されています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1Angie Nixon (D)4250.0%4250¢-4150¢
2Ashley Moody (R)4250.0%4250¢-4150¢

判定ルール

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Miami-Dade County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Sep 2, 2026

  • 09:03 AM
    PIpineappple
    $1.10

    Sold 10 Yes for Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? at 0.11

  • 07:51 AM
    ANAntony82
    $4.60

    Sold 10 Yes for Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? at 0.46

  • 07:51 AM
    $5.50

    Bought 10 No for Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? at 0.55

  • 12:37 AM
    ANAntony82
    $4.70

    Sold 10 No for Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? at 0.47

  • 12:37 AM
    ANAntony82
    $5.30

    Bought 10 Yes for Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? at 0.53

Sep 1, 2026

  • 09:52 PM
    $1.37

    Sold 11.41 Yes for Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? at 0.12

  • 07:05 PM
    FRFrankyFourFingers
    $2.40

    Bought 20 Yes for Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? at 0.12

  • 06:32 PM
    AJAJSV
    $5.48

    Bought 54.8 No for Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? at 0.1

  • 06:19 PM
    ANAntony82
    $1.00

    Bought 10 Yes for Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? at 0.1

  • 06:19 PM
    ANAntony82
    $1.00

    Bought 10 No for Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? at 0.1

  • 06:03 PM
    CHchessplayer
    $18.17

    Bought 20.89 Yes for Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? at 0.87

  • 05:52 PM
    $0.17

    Sold 8.59 Yes for Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? at 0.02

よくある質問

「Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、Angie Nixon (D) が 4,250% の勝率で首位、続いて Ashley Moody (R)(4,250%)。このプールの総取引高は — に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

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