Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

$511.7K Vol
2026年9月24日
Active
確率トレンド
Xtreme Gaming 87.5%
Team Nemesis 12.5%

コアサマリー

「Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Match Winner が 9,400% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Game 2 Winner が 8,200% で2番手、Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5) が 8,150% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $511.7K に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • Match Winner (9,400%):最も高い確率を持つ Match Winner は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 9,400¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $176.5K の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Game 2 Winner (8,200%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Game 2 Winner は 8,200% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 8,200¢ で取引されています。
  • Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5) (8,150%):8,150% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5) に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Ends in Daytime (5,000%)、Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%)、Both Teams Destroy Barracks (5,000%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Any Player Ultra Kill のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1Match Winner9400.0%$176.5K9400¢-9300¢
2Game 2 Winner8200.0%$22.9K8200¢-8100¢
3Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)8150.0%$61.5K8150¢-8050¢
4Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%$15000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Rampage5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%$15000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Rampage5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16O/U 2.5 Games1800.0%$1.2K1800¢-1700¢
17Both Teams Beat Roshan65.0%$165¢35¢
18Any Player Ultra Kill50.0%50¢50¢
19Any Player Rampage50.0%50¢50¢
20First Blood in Game 1?50.0%50¢50¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 1 match between Xtreme Gaming and Team Nemesis in the PGL Wallachia Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Xtreme Gaming" if Xtreme Gaming win the match against Team Nemesis.

This market will resolve to "Team Nemesis" if Team Nemesis win the match against Xtreme Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 8, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 24, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Sep 24, 2026

  • 12:13 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $49.36

    Bought 67.61 Xtreme Gaming for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.73

  • 12:06 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $107.86

    Bought 147.753425 Xtreme Gaming for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.73

Sep 23, 2026

  • 11:54 PM
    0X0x4d44a3aa546cA4396B4F2b4e690662bC012549e6-1761568659143
    $189.68

    Bought 287.398657 Xtreme Gaming for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner at 0.66

  • 11:48 PM
    AMameisgoat11
    $2.90

    Bought 5 Team Nemesis for Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5) at 0.58

  • 11:46 PM
    $1.00

    Bought 3.571429 Team Nemesis for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.28

  • 11:46 PM
    KIkisulin
    $982.31

    Bought 1345.630137 Xtreme Gaming for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.73

  • 11:42 PM
    $73.00

    Bought 100 Xtreme Gaming for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.73

  • 11:41 PM
    NZNZProphet
    $100.00

    Bought 136.9863 Xtreme Gaming for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.73

  • 11:37 PM
    NZNZProphet
    $35.00

    Bought 83.333334 Xtreme Gaming for Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5) at 0.42

  • 11:32 PM
    OROrangeLynn-Bagel
    $50.00

    Bought 68.493151 Xtreme Gaming for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.73

  • 11:29 PM
    JOjotun
    $20.00

    Bought 27.397259 Xtreme Gaming for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.73

  • 11:25 PM
    DPdpmo
    $2.00

    Bought 7.142858 Team Nemesis for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.28

このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット

CO1
CORGI8
イベント損益
+$30.86
出来高
$40,772.40
保有ポジション
Team Nemesis
OJ2
ojgtubvdt
イベント損益
-$66.50
出来高
$13,300.00
保有ポジション
Xtreme Gaming
TR3
TrippleEX
イベント損益
+$8.43
出来高
$9,999.98
保有ポジション
Xtreme Gaming
TY4
tyoprkg
イベント損益
-$50.00
出来高
$9,999.97
保有ポジション
Xtreme Gaming
OD5
odifipa
イベント損益
+$44.64
出来高
$8,928.00
保有ポジション
Team Nemesis
CH6
Chopperyyy
イベント損益
-$20.83
出来高
$4,166.67
保有ポジション
Xtreme Gaming
9E7
0x9e3e…9396
イベント損益
-$15.58
出来高
$3,279.57
保有ポジション
Xtreme Gaming
ZI8
zirahzoo90
イベント損益
+$4.34
出来高
$1,975.99
保有ポジション
Xtreme Gaming

よくある質問

「Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、Match Winner が 9,400% の勝率で首位、続いて Game 2 Winner(8,200%)、Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)(8,150%)。このプールの総取引高は $511.7K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

無料で始める