Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

$669.3K Vol
2026年9月26日
Active
確率トレンド
Xtreme Gaming 67.5%
LGD Gaming 32.5%

コアサマリー

「Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Game 2 Winner が 5,800% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Match Winner が 5,350% で2番手、Ends in Daytime が 5,050% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $669.3K に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • Game 2 Winner (5,800%):最も高い確率を持つ Game 2 Winner は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 5,800¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $23.4K の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Match Winner (5,350%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Match Winner は 5,350% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 5,350¢ で取引されています。
  • Ends in Daytime (5,050%):5,050% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Ends in Daytime に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? (5,050%)、Ends in Daytime (5,000%)、Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Ends in Daytime のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1Game 2 Winner5800.0%$23.4K5800¢-5700¢
2Match Winner5350.0%$344.1K5350¢-5250¢
3Ends in Daytime5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
5Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Rampage5000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
9First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14O/U 2.5 Games4950.0%$3834950¢-4850¢
15Both Teams Beat Roshan3350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
16Both Teams Beat Roshan3350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
17Both Teams Destroy Barracks3100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
18Both Teams Destroy Barracks3100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
19Both Teams Destroy Barracks3100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
20Game 1 Winner2950.0%$296.1K2950¢-2850¢
21Any Player Ultra Kill2900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
22Any Player Ultra Kill2900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
23Any Player Ultra Kill2900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
24Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)2400.0%$5.3K2400¢-2300¢
25Any Player Rampage2250.0%$102250¢-2150¢
26Any Player Rampage2250.0%$102250¢-2150¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Semifinal 1 match between Xtreme Gaming and LGD Gaming in the PGL Wallachia Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Xtreme Gaming" if Xtreme Gaming win the match against LGD Gaming.

This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against Xtreme Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 25, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Sep 25, 2026

  • 12:00 PM
    RARaiJhin
    $40.00

    Bought 57.142856 LGD Gaming for Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) at 0.7

  • 11:56 AM
    LULuckinmaside
    $10.00

    Bought 17.54386 Xtreme Gaming for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.57

  • 11:55 AM
    ——
    $100.00

    Bought 181.818182 Xtreme Gaming for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.55

  • 11:53 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $24.76

    Sold 44.21 Xtreme Gaming for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.56

  • 11:53 AM
    HOhonduraslover
    $1.00

    Bought 1.754386 Xtreme Gaming for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.57

  • 11:51 AM
    ——
    $1.10

    Bought 2.5 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.44

  • 11:51 AM
    RArames3s
    $2.00

    Bought 4.545455 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.44

  • 11:51 AM
    MAmarkytrader
    $9.57

    Bought 21.75 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.44

  • 11:51 AM
    SOSodoo
    $22,827.72

    Bought 40048.63 Xtreme Gaming for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.57

  • 11:51 AM
    TRtrader-6a7eca51
    $7.54

    Bought 17.136364 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.44

  • 11:49 AM
    OWowdz
    $9.69

    Bought 17 Xtreme Gaming for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.57

  • 11:48 AM
    GGGGesnord
    $200.00

    Bought 350.877193 Xtreme Gaming for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.57

このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット

SO1
Sodoo
イベント損益
+$452.25
出来高
$30,147.88
保有ポジション
Xtreme Gaming
HE2
HectorHuang
イベント損益
-$566.58
出来高
$29,161.52
保有ポジション
Xtreme Gaming
TA3
tankfest2027
イベント損益
-$300.00
出来高
$20,000.00
保有ポジション
LGD Gaming
SI4
SineNooneEI
イベント損益
+$124.28
出来高
$14,999.87
保有ポジション
LGD Gaming
SU5
suntori
イベント損益
+$182.19
出来高
$11,889.82
保有ポジション
Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming
FO6
forsenxd
イベント損益
+$216.90
出来高
$11,805.67
保有ポジション
LGD GamingLGD GamingLGD Gaming
OJ7
ojgtubvdt
イベント損益
-$50.00
出来高
$10,000.00
保有ポジション
Xtreme Gaming
PA8
Parad1se
イベント損益
+$0.02
出来高
$10,000.00
保有ポジション
Xtreme Gaming

よくある質問

「Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、Game 2 Winner が 5,800% の勝率で首位、続いて Match Winner(5,350%)、Ends in Daytime(5,050%)。このプールの総取引高は $669.3K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

無料で始める