Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

$962.4K Vol
2026年9月22日
Active
確率トレンド
Team Yandex 83.5%
Natus Vincere 16.5%

コアサマリー

「Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Game 1 Winner が 9,995% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Ends in Daytime が 9,850% で2番手、Match Winner が 8,550% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $962.4K に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%):最も高い確率を持つ Game 1 Winner は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 9,995¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $632.5K の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Ends in Daytime (9,850%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Ends in Daytime は 9,850% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 9,850¢ で取引されています。
  • Match Winner (8,550%):8,550% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Match Winner に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) (6,150%)、Game 2 Winner (6,050%)、Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Any Player Ultra Kill のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$632.5K9995¢-9895¢
2Ends in Daytime9850.0%9850¢-9750¢
3Match Winner8550.0%$276.4K8550¢-8450¢
4Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)6150.0%$2.6K6150¢-6050¢
5Game 2 Winner6050.0%$50.5K6050¢-5950¢
6Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Rampage5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14O/U 2.5 Games3950.0%$3163950¢-3850¢
15Both Teams Beat Roshan3350.0%3350¢-3250¢
16Both Teams Beat Roshan3350.0%3350¢-3250¢
17Both Teams Destroy Barracks3100.0%3100¢-3000¢
18Both Teams Destroy Barracks3100.0%3100¢-3000¢
19Any Player Ultra Kill2900.0%2900¢-2800¢
20Any Player Ultra Kill2900.0%2900¢-2800¢
21Any Player Rampage2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
22Any Player Rampage2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?950.0%950¢-850¢
24Both Teams Destroy Barracks150.0%150¢-50¢
25Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?150.0%150¢-50¢
26Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?150.0%150¢-50¢
27Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?150.0%150¢-50¢
28Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?45.0%45¢55¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between Team Yandex and Natus Vincere in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win the match against Natus Vincere.

This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Team Yandex.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Sep 21, 2026

  • 11:06 AM
    JOjourneymanfinalboss
    $39.00

    Sold 99.99 Natus Vincere for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage at 0.39

  • 10:46 AM
    RArarus366
    $9.76

    Bought 16 Team Yandex for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage at 0.61

  • 10:45 AM
    WHwh1telight
    $50.00

    Bought 81.967212 Team Yandex for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage at 0.61

  • 10:39 AM
    WRwrspd
    $30.00

    Bought 49.180328 Team Yandex for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage at 0.61

  • 10:16 AM
    COcongmqian-gendan
    $4.27

    Bought 7 Team Yandex for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage at 0.61

  • 10:15 AM
    $10.00

    Bought 16.393443 Team Yandex for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage at 0.61

  • 10:15 AM
    NENewChapp
    $4,039.26

    Bought 10357.065122 Natus Vincere for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage at 0.39

  • 10:15 AM
    ONonseason
    $2.00

    Bought 3.278689 Team Yandex for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage at 0.61

  • 10:04 AM
    ANanother-copy-bot-4-final
    $9.88

    Bought 26 Natus Vincere for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage at 0.38

  • 10:03 AM
    OGoGsPale
    $4.88

    Bought 12.842106 Natus Vincere for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage at 0.38

  • 10:03 AM
    OGoGsPale
    $4.87

    Bought 12.81579 Natus Vincere for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage at 0.38

  • 10:00 AM
    LOlockin2026
    $1,333.04

    Bought 3508 Natus Vincere for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage at 0.38

このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット

SO1
Sodoo
イベント損益
+$21.51
出来高
$30,000.18
保有ポジション
Team Yandex
GE2
GEAEW
イベント損益
+$30.56
出来高
$12,310.98
保有ポジション
Team Yandex
NE3
NewChapp
イベント損益
+$91.04
出来高
$10,357.07
保有ポジション
Natus Vincere
TR4
TrippleEX
イベント損益
-$50.00
出来高
$10,000.00
保有ポジション
Team Yandex
VI5
vibing123
イベント損益
+$35.00
出来高
$7,000.00
保有ポジション
Natus Vincere
BL6
BlessedKaladin
イベント損益
+$33.41
出来高
$6,682.58
保有ポジション
Natus Vincere
DR7
drunkdegenerate
イベント損益
+$25.00
出来高
$5,000.00
保有ポジション
Natus Vincere
CO8
coolz122
イベント損益
+$25.00
出来高
$4,999.97
保有ポジション
Natus Vincere

よくある質問

「Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、Game 1 Winner が 9,995% の勝率で首位、続いて Ends in Daytime(9,850%)、Match Winner(8,550%)。このプールの総取引高は $962.4K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

無料で始める