Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

$2M Vol
2026年9月25日
Active
確率トレンド
Team Yandex 100.0%
1win 0.1%

コアサマリー

「Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Any Player Ultra Kill が 9,000% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。First Blood in Game 2? が 9,000% で2番手、Both Teams Beat Roshan が 1,000% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $2M に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • Any Player Ultra Kill (9,000%):最も高い確率を持つ Any Player Ultra Kill は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 9,000¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • First Blood in Game 2? (9,000%):最も有力な対抗馬として、First Blood in Game 2? は 9,000% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 9,000¢ で取引されています。
  • Both Teams Beat Roshan (1,000%):1,000% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Both Teams Beat Roshan に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Any Player Rampage (1,000%)、Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? (1,000%)、Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2? (1,000%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Any Player Rampage のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1Any Player Ultra Kill9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
2First Blood in Game 2?9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
3Both Teams Beat Roshan1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
4Any Player Rampage1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?1000.0%—1000¢-900¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 4 match between Team Yandex and 1win in the PGL Wallachia Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win the match against 1win.

This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win the match against Team Yandex.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 8, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Sep 24, 2026

  • 11:50 AM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.190475 Team Yandex for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.84

  • 11:14 AM
    0X0x84AbdB5344A9c67aeD852d75Ad308AFEEC10eEFd-1772931226118
    $6.00

    Bought 35.294118 1win for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.17

  • 11:09 AM
    ——
    $5.00

    Bought 29.411765 1win for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.17

  • 10:41 AM
    ——
    $49.00

    Bought 67.123288 Team Yandex for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win - Game 1 Winner at 0.73

  • 10:40 AM
    JAJameslyy
    $57.00

    Bought 100 Team Yandex for Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5) at 0.57

  • 10:38 AM
    RIRigen
    $0.84

    Sold 5.26 1win for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.16

  • 10:28 AM
    0X0x84AbdB5344A9c67aeD852d75Ad308AFEEC10eEFd-1772931226118
    $9.13

    Bought 53.69 1win for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.17

  • 10:09 AM
    SEsetanimut
    $168.00

    Sold 300 Team Yandex for Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5) at 0.56

  • 10:08 AM
    MYmyethersports
    $1.10

    Bought 6.470589 1win for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.17

  • 09:56 AM
    KOKOVSAN
    $1.00

    Bought 1.190475 Team Yandex for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.84

  • 09:51 AM
    TRtripleh0829
    $1,004.63

    Bought 1195.987977 Team Yandex for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs at 0.84

  • 09:51 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $22.74

    Bought 31.150685 Team Yandex for Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win - Game 1 Winner at 0.73

このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット

DI1
Diabolical-Prize
イベント損益
+$46,490.20
出来高
$413,166.89
保有ポジション
Team Yandex
CO2
CORGI8
イベント損益
-$14,142.55
出来高
$157,898.54
保有ポジション
1win1win
NE3
Netrol
イベント損益
-$8,908.83
出来高
$67,802.69
保有ポジション
1win
AC4
acorp
イベント損益
+$5,176.11
出来高
$61,520.24
保有ポジション
Team YandexTeam Yandex
OL5
olegio
イベント損益
-$5,765.57
出来高
$47,942.60
保有ポジション
1win
JT6
jtwyslljy
イベント損益
-$6,066.42
出来高
$34,000.08
保有ポジション
1win
UN7
Uniform123
イベント損益
-$4,162.10
出来高
$27,395.59
保有ポジション
1win1win1win
F38
0xf3ce…a57a
イベント損益
+$2,751.63
出来高
$26,275.08
保有ポジション
Team Yandex

よくある質問

「Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、Any Player Ultra Kill が 9,000% の勝率で首位、続いて First Blood in Game 2?(9,000%)、Both Teams Beat Roshan(1,000%)。このプールの総取引高は $2M に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

無料で始める