
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
コアサマリー
「Dota 2: MOUZ vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。
現在、Game Handicap: Dawn Bulls (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) が 6,200% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Ends in Daytime が 5,000% で2番手、Both Teams Beat Roshan が 5,000% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $244.7K に達し、高い関心を示しています。
競争ティアの内訳
各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:
🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー
- Game Handicap: Dawn Bulls (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) (6,200%):最も高い確率を持つ Game Handicap: Dawn Bulls (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 6,200¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $20 の出来高を生んでいます。
🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬
- Ends in Daytime (5,000%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Ends in Daytime は 5,000% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 5,000¢ で取引されています。
- Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%):5,000% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Both Teams Beat Roshan に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。
🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)
トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:
- 代替選択肢:Both Teams Destroy Barracks (5,000%)、Any Player Ultra Kill (5,000%)、Any Player Rampage (5,000%) などが含まれます。
- 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Ends in Daytime のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。
包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード
以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:
| 順位 | 予測結果 | 勝率 | 取引高 | Yes 購入(コスト) | No 購入(コスト) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game Handicap: Dawn Bulls (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) | 6200.0% | $20 | 6200¢ | -6100¢ |
| 2 | Ends in Daytime | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Any Player Rampage | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Ends in Daytime | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Any Player Rampage | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | First Blood in Game 2? | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 17 | Game 2 Winner | 3750.0% | $187.1K | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 18 | O/U 2.5 Games | 3750.0% | $122 | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 19 | Match Winner | 1950.0% | $33.7K | 1950¢ | -1850¢ |
| 20 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 21 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 22 | Any Player Rampage | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 23 | First Blood in Game 1? | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 24 | Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Dawn Bulls (+1.5) | 5.0% | $3.3K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
判定ルール
This market refers to the Dota 2 Quarterfinal 3 match between MOUZ and Dawn Bulls in the BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Dawn Bulls.
This market will resolve to "Dawn Bulls" if Dawn Bulls win the match against MOUZ.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
取引アクティビティ
このイベントの取引アクティビティです。
Sep 12, 2026
- 12:07 PMNAnaive-child$230.96
Bought 721.75 MOUZ for Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Dawn Bulls (+1.5) at 0.32
- 11:33 AMGRgrandeYdesagradable$2.40
Bought 5.454546 Dawn Bulls for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.44
- 11:33 AM——$6.00
Bought 10.344828 MOUZ for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.58
- 10:16 AM0X0xA1BF16A4540d61a6d69348CaDce7C2A001fff357-1770654750668$110.00
Bought 159.42029 Dawn Bulls for Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Dawn Bulls (+1.5) at 0.69
- 09:54 AM——$4.84
Bought 8.491227 MOUZ for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.57
- 09:29 AMJUJustABoyTryingToBuyAHouse$3.00
Bought 6.976745 Dawn Bulls for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.43
- 08:55 AMKUkuwapt$2.43
Bought 5.651163 Dawn Bulls for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.43
- 08:55 AMI4i47enc93k6x4$3.00
Bought 6.976745 Dawn Bulls for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.43
- 08:55 AMTRtracyyang$30.68
Bought 52 MOUZ for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.59
- 07:52 AMKUkuwapt$2.30
Bought 5.348838 Dawn Bulls for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.43
- 07:52 AMI4i47enc93k6x4$3.00
Bought 6.976745 Dawn Bulls for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.43
- 07:52 AMCHCharbroil1124a$138.00
Bought 233.898304 MOUZ for Dota 2: MOUZ vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.59
このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット
よくある質問
「Dota 2: MOUZ vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?
最新の更新時点で、Game Handicap: Dawn Bulls (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) が 6,200% の勝率で首位、続いて Ends in Daytime(5,000%)、Both Teams Beat Roshan(5,000%)。このプールの総取引高は $244.7K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。
