Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

$471 Vol
2026年9月22日
Active
確率トレンド
Conventus Stellarum 71.0%
Yakult Brothers 29.0%

コアサマリー

「Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Match Winner が 7,150% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Game 1 Winner が 6,300% で2番手、Game 2 Winner が 6,200% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $471 に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • Match Winner (7,150%):最も高い確率を持つ Match Winner は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 7,150¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $471 の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Game 1 Winner (6,300%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Game 1 Winner は 6,300% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 6,300¢ で取引されています。
  • Game 2 Winner (6,200%):6,200% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Game 2 Winner に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Any Player Rampage (6,150%)、Ends in Daytime (5,000%)、Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Both Teams Destroy Barracks のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1Match Winner7150.0%$4717150¢-7050¢
2Game 1 Winner6300.0%6300¢-6200¢
3Game 2 Winner6200.0%6200¢-6100¢
4Any Player Rampage6150.0%6150¢-6050¢
5Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17O/U 2.5 Games4550.0%4550¢-4450¢
18Game Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+1.5)4300.0%4300¢-4200¢
19Any Player Rampage1450.0%1450¢-1350¢
20Any Player Rampage550.0%550¢-450¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 4 match between Conventus Stellarum and Yakult Brothers in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Conventus Stellarum" if Conventus Stellarum win the match against Yakult Brothers.

This market will resolve to "Yakult Brothers" if Yakult Brothers win the match against Conventus Stellarum.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 22, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

よくある質問

「Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、Match Winner が 7,150% の勝率で首位、続いて Game 1 Winner(6,300%)、Game 2 Winner(6,200%)。このプールの総取引高は $471 に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

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