Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

$2.8M Vol
2026年9月21日
Active
確率トレンド
Conventus Stellarum 50.0%
1win 50.0%

コアサマリー

「Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、O/U 2.5 Games が 9,995% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 2? が 9,050% で2番手、Ends in Daytime が 5,000% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $2.8M に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%):最も高い確率を持つ O/U 2.5 Games は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 9,995¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $885 の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 2? (9,050%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 2? は 9,050% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 9,050¢ で取引されています。
  • Ends in Daytime (5,000%):5,000% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Ends in Daytime に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%)、Both Teams Destroy Barracks (5,000%)、Any Player Ultra Kill (5,000%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Any Player Rampage のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$8859995¢-9895¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 2?9050.0%9050¢-8950¢
3Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Rampage5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Match Winner4950.0%$1.2M4950¢-4850¢
9Game Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)5.0%$55195¢
10Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Conventus Stellarum (+1.5)5.0%$40695¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between Conventus Stellarum and 1win in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Conventus Stellarum" if Conventus Stellarum win the match against 1win.

This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win the match against Conventus Stellarum.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 21, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Sep 21, 2026

  • 11:13 AM
    IMimake1mil
    $13.80

    Bought 23 1win for Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win - Game 2 Winner at 0.6

  • 11:13 AM
    HAhanssere
    $35.00

    Bought 58.333332 1win for Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win - Game 2 Winner at 0.6

  • 11:13 AM
    BAbabyboy9
    $252.55

    Bought 601.309524 Conventus Stellarum for Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win - Game 2 Winner at 0.42

  • 11:13 AM
    RIribalka
    $183.27

    Sold 447 Conventus Stellarum for Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win - Game 2 Winner at 0.41

  • 11:13 AM
    BAbabyboy9
    $251.30

    Bought 598.333334 Conventus Stellarum for Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win - Game 2 Winner at 0.42

  • 11:13 AM
    RARandomGameBet
    $66.40

    Bought 166 Conventus Stellarum for Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win - Game 2 Winner at 0.4

  • 11:13 AM
    RIribalka
    $60.20

    Sold 140 Conventus Stellarum for Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win - Game 2 Winner at 0.43

  • 11:13 AM
    WHwhilwhile
    $147.03

    Sold 262.55 1win for Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win - Game 2 Winner at 0.56

  • 11:13 AM
    LIlieshka
    $25.00

    Bought 56.81 Conventus Stellarum for Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win - Game 2 Winner at 0.44

  • 11:13 AM
    LIlieshka
    $23.96

    Bought 52.08 Conventus Stellarum for Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win - Game 2 Winner at 0.46

  • 11:12 AM
    CAcat3xcat3x
    $195.22

    Bought 527.63 Conventus Stellarum for Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win - Game 2 Winner at 0.37

  • 11:12 AM
    $4.14

    Bought 11.19 Conventus Stellarum for Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win - Game 2 Winner at 0.37

このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット

E11
0xE16D…0592
イベント損益
-$17,885.00
出来高
$120,697.64
保有ポジション
1win1win
LA2
landighertz
イベント損益
+$52.01
出来高
$87,586.88
保有ポジション
Conventus Stellarum
CO3
CORGI8
イベント損益
+$21,439.41
出来高
$69,987.57
保有ポジション
1winConventus Stellarum
MA4
MaoZeDonK
イベント損益
+$664.14
出来高
$50,376.41
保有ポジション
1winConventus Stellarum
SU5
Sunshine.Smile
イベント損益
-$23,944.63
出来高
$40,010.96
保有ポジション
1win
ME6
meoooow
イベント損益
+$18,868.34
出来高
$33,250.39
保有ポジション
Conventus Stellarum
SU7
suntori
イベント損益
+$7,044.36
出来高
$31,231.73
保有ポジション
1winConventus Stellarum
TH8
THEHIGHLIFE
イベント損益
+$7,148.62
出来高
$27,454.33
保有ポジション
Conventus StellarumConventus Stellarum

よくある質問

「Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、O/U 2.5 Games が 9,995% の勝率で首位、続いて Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 2?(9,050%)、Ends in Daytime(5,000%)。このプールの総取引高は $2.8M に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

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