Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs

$194.5K Vol
2026年11月2日
Active
確率トレンド
1WIN 75.5%
HOTU 23.5%

コアサマリー

「Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 が 9,950% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5) が 5,650% で2番手、Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5) が 5,550% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $194.5K に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (9,950%):最も高い確率を持つ Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 9,950¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5) (5,650%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5) は 5,650% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 5,650¢ で取引されています。
  • Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5) (5,550%):5,550% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5) に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%)、Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%)、Map 2 Winner (4,450%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、O/U 2.5 Games のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
2Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5)5650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
3Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)5550.0%$6525550¢-5450¢
4Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Map 2 Winner4450.0%$9.5K4450¢-4350¢
7O/U 2.5 Games4400.0%$964400¢-4300¢
8Match Winner2450.0%$162.0K2450¢-2350¢
9Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.52450.0%—2450¢-2350¢
10Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5)50.0%—50¢50¢
11Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-6.5) vs HOTU (+6.5)50.0%—50¢50¢
12Map 1 Winner5.0%$43.0K5¢95¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand Final match between HOTU and 1WIN in the Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "HOTU" if HOTU win the match against 1WIN.

This market will resolve to "1WIN" if 1WIN win the match against HOTU.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 1, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Nov 1, 2026

  • 12:18 PM
    ——
    $5.00

    Bought 10.416667 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.48

  • 12:16 PM
    N9N9N4M3
    $15.00

    Bought 28.301887 1WIN for Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs at 0.53

  • 12:15 PM
    SESecondChanceAtLife
    $20.00

    Bought 37.735848 1WIN for Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs at 0.53

  • 12:12 PM
    R0R00t.eth
    $50.14

    Bought 139.27907 1WIN for Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5) at 0.36

  • 12:09 PM
    AUAurasi
    $7.80

    Bought 14.716982 1WIN for Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs at 0.53

  • 12:06 PM
    ——
    $1.10

    Bought 2.291667 HOTU for Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs at 0.48

  • 12:06 PM
    ——
    $10.22

    Bought 19.283019 1WIN for Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs at 0.53

  • 12:06 PM
    0X0x0284e1C5b93A6fe07aa5e83e8543D6e33F8a97F6-1779001826210
    $208.33

    Bought 393.075472 1WIN for Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs at 0.53

  • 11:58 AM
    0X0x9a53a9c3a9271dbdb102d101bb0a0e17efb32682-1792355146412
    $106.00

    Bought 200 1WIN for Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs at 0.53

  • 11:58 AM
    ——
    $1.10

    Bought 2.291667 HOTU for Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs at 0.48

  • 11:58 AM
    SPSpiceHunter
    $49.35

    Bought 73.65 HOTU for Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5) at 0.67

  • 11:58 AM
    REremingt0n
    $18.99

    Bought 28.35 HOTU for Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5) at 0.67

このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット

LL1
lllllllIlll
イベント損益
-$2,496.39
出来高
$100,009.00
保有ポジション
HOTU
WI2
Wiretransferxyz
イベント損益
+$1,125.00
出来高
$45,000.00
保有ポジション
1WIN
C93
0xC9BF…255F
イベント損益
+$553.77
出来高
$22,149.81
保有ポジション
1WIN
BA4
Babooou
イベント損益
+$312.50
出来高
$12,500.00
保有ポジション
1WIN
VI5
vibing123
イベント損益
+$10.69
出来高
$9,999.86
保有ポジション
HOTU
9E6
0x9e3e…9396
イベント損益
-$757.87
出来高
$5,354.47
保有ポジション
HOTU
F47
0xf483…9237
イベント損益
+$600.96
出来高
$4,807.66
保有ポジション
1WIN
TT8
TTTT2026
イベント損益
+$98.04
出来高
$3,921.56
保有ポジション
1WIN

よくある質問

「Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 が 9,950% の勝率で首位、続いて Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5)(5,650%)、Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)(5,550%)。このプールの総取引高は $194.5K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

取引を始める