Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

「Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? が 9,450% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? が 8,750% で2番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $80.6K に達し、高い関心を示しています。

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます：

🥇 ティア1：圧倒的なリーダー

• Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? (9,450%)：最も高い確率を持つ Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 9,450¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $80.6K の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2：主要な対抗馬

• Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? (8,750%)：最も有力な対抗馬として、Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? は 8,750% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 8,750¢ で取引されています。

This market will resolve to the listed company with the larger private market valuation, as measured by the final NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM), for December 31, 2026.

NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.

If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the latest available data.

If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.

If a company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve according to the company's public market capitalization at the market close of the specified date or the most recent trading day.

Public market capitalization will be determined using the final official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for the specified date or the most recent trading day, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time.

If a listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.

If a listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only the NPM valuation and applicable public market capitalization achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.

The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates) and here (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.

If Anthropic's valuation is equal to OpenAI's valuation at resolution, this market will resolve to 50-50.

Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.