Anthropic opening share price on IPO day?

「Anthropic opening share price on IPO day?」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、$90 to $100 が 4,950% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。$110 to $120 が 4,950% で2番手、$70 to $80 が 4,900% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $472 に達し、高い関心を示しています。

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます：

🥇 ティア1：圧倒的なリーダー

• $90 to $100 (4,950%)：最も高い確率を持つ $90 to $100 は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 4,950¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。

🥈 ティア2：主要な対抗馬

• $110 to $120 (4,950%)：最も有力な対抗馬として、$110 to $120 は 4,950% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 4,950¢ で取引されています。
• $70 to $80 (4,900%)：4,900% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は $70 to $80 に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3：ロングテール選択肢（合計約 0%）

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります：

• 代替選択肢：$80 to $90 (4,900%)、$100 to $110 (4,900%)、$120+ (4,900%) などが含まれます。
• 投機的出来高：統計的な可能性は低いものの、<$70 のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

This market will resolve according to the official opening price of Anthropic's Class A common stock on its first day of trading on the secondary market on its primary exchange, as published by that exchange.

The official opening price is the price of the first trade of Anthropic's Class A common stock executed on its primary exchange, as set by that exchange's IPO opening cross or opening auction and published by the exchange as the official opening price. Only trading on the primary exchange counts. The IPO price at which shares are sold to investors in the offering, any indicative or expected opening price published before the first trade, and any trading before the exchange listing (such as on private-share platforms or in pre-IPO or "when-issued" markets) will not be considered.

If the opening price falls exactly on a boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket (e.g., exactly $80.00 resolves to "$80 to $90").

Anthropic’s first day of trading refers to the first day Anthropic’s Class A common stock trades on the secondary market on its primary exchange.

For this market, an IPO means an underwritten, SEC-registered offering of newly issued shares of Anthropic’s Class A common stock sold to the public for cash under a registration statement on Form S-1 that the SEC has declared effective, where the shares have been approved for listing on the New York Stock Exchange, NYSE American, the Nasdaq Stock Market, or Cboe BZX Exchange, and the offering has been priced, as shown by the first final prospectus filed with the SEC under Rule 424(b). Direct listings, mergers with a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC), reverse mergers, private placements, and listings outside the U.S. will not count. An IPO counts as completed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET if the pricing date stated on the cover of that first final prospectus is on or before that time, even if the prospectus is filed afterwards; if Anthropic’s registration statement has been declared effective by then but the prospectus has not yet been filed, this market will wait until 11:59 PM ET on the second business day after December 31, 2027 for it. Because this market depends on trading in Anthropic’s shares, if the IPO is priced but the shares never begin trading on the listing exchange, this market will resolve to “No IPO by December 31, 2027”. If Anthropic does not complete an IPO by then, or publicly announces a definitive agreement to be acquired by or merged into another company before completing one, this market will resolve to “No IPO by December 31, 2027”, regardless of whether that transaction is later completed or terminated. An IPO by a holding company formed to hold all or substantially all of Anthropic’s business for the purpose of the IPO counts as Anthropic’s IPO.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange's official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

If no official opening price for Anthropic's first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.