2028 Presidential Election: New Hampshire Winner

「2028 Presidential Election: New Hampshire Winner」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Republican Party が 4,000% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Democratic Party が 3,500% で2番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $184 に達し、高い関心を示しています。

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます：

🥇 ティア1：圧倒的なリーダー

• Republican Party (4,000%)：最も高い確率を持つ Republican Party は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 4,000¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $80 の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2：主要な対抗馬

• Democratic Party (3,500%)：最も有力な対抗馬として、Democratic Party は 3,500% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 3,500¢ で取引されています。

The 2028 Presidential Election is expected to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate, or, in the case of an independent candidate, the named candidate, who wins the most valid statewide votes of any candidate in New Hampshire in the 2028 Presidential Election.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party if they are the nominee of that party. A candidate who is the nominee of either the Democratic or Republican Party will be considered to represent that party, regardless of any additional party affiliations they may have.

This market resolves based on the candidate that wins the most statewide votes in the specified state in the 2028 US presidential election, regardless of the subsequent distribution of that state’s electoral college votes. For states using ranked-choice voting or another multi-round system, the vote count from the final round will be used.

The nominees of relevant parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. If any named party nominee is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and this market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the statewide New Hampshire results of the 2028 presidential election cannot be definitively determined by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution sources for this market are the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC; however, the certified statewide results of the 2028 presidential election may also be used.

This market will resolve once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have all concurrently called the state for the same candidate. If one or more of these news organizations does not make statewide race calls for the 2028 presidential election it will be considered to have been struck from this list. If the relevant news organizations do not reach consensus, this market will resolve based on the certified results of the election reported by the state government.