L.R. Vicenza vs. SS Juve Stabia

$149.5K Vol
Sep 12, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
No 100.0%
Yes 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “L.R. Vicenza vs. SS Juve Stabia”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Draw (L.R. Vicenza vs. SS Juve Stabia) is dominating the market with an overwhelming 100% chance of winning. L.R. Vicenza follows in second place at 0.1%, while SS Juve Stabia sits in third with 0.1%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $149.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Draw (L.R. Vicenza vs. SS Juve Stabia) (100%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Draw (L.R. Vicenza vs. SS Juve Stabia) is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 100¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $4.3K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • L.R. Vicenza (0.1%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, L.R. Vicenza maintains a 0.1% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 0¢.
  • SS Juve Stabia (0.1%): Sitting in third place with a 0.1% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward SS Juve Stabia, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Draw (L.R. Vicenza vs. SS Juve Stabia)100.0%$4.3K100¢
2L.R. Vicenza0.1%$141.2K100¢
3SS Juve Stabia0.1%$4.0K100¢

Result Rules

This event is for the upcoming Serie B game, scheduled for Saturday, September 12, 2026 between L.R. Vicenza and SS Juve Stabia.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Draw (L.R. Vicenza vs. SS Juve Stabia) currently trades at 100%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 32.9%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -67.1%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies L.R. Vicenza as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 0.1% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 47.9% — yielding an impressive +47.9% EV Gap.
  • Under-the-Radar Dark Horses Other notable discrepancies include SS Juve Stabia (EV Gap: +23.6%). These long-tail opportunities are heavily discounted by the live order books despite stronger statistical backing from our predictive model.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Draw (L.R. Vicenza vs. SS Juve Stabia)100.0%32.9%-67.1%
L.R. VicenzaBest EV0.1%47.9%+47.9%
SS Juve Stabia0.1%23.7%+23.6%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 12, 2026

  • 07:13 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.411268 No for Will L.R. Vicenza vs. SS Juve Stabia end in a draw? at 0.71

  • 06:26 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $20.86

    Bought 29.8 No for Will L.R. Vicenza vs. SS Juve Stabia end in a draw? at 0.7

  • 05:56 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $276.00

    Bought 400 No for Will L.R. Vicenza vs. SS Juve Stabia end in a draw? at 0.69

Sep 11, 2026

  • 11:59 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $1.70

    Bought 3.14 No for Will L.R. Vicenza win on 2026-09-12? at 0.54

  • 11:59 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.851852 No for Will L.R. Vicenza win on 2026-09-12? at 0.54

  • 11:59 AM
    0X0x92F59e08060C00C9b2Dde0098D272f66C34C52A2-1786873013481
    $0.14

    Bought 0.6 Yes for Will SS Juve Stabia win on 2026-09-12? at 0.23

  • 11:59 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $4.00

    Bought 17.391305 Yes for Will SS Juve Stabia win on 2026-09-12? at 0.23

Sep 9, 2026

  • 12:52 PM
    DADannyCipriani
    $9.35

    Sold 17.98 No for Will L.R. Vicenza win on 2026-09-12? at 0.52

  • 06:11 AM
    $1.50

    Bought 5 Yes for Will L.R. Vicenza vs. SS Juve Stabia end in a draw? at 0.3

Sep 8, 2026

  • 08:52 PM
    DADannyCipriani
    $3.96

    Sold 17.98 Yes for Will SS Juve Stabia win on 2026-09-12? at 0.22

  • 10:38 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $3.09

    Bought 14.045455 Yes for Will SS Juve Stabia win on 2026-09-12? at 0.22

  • 10:38 AM
    0X0x92F59e08060C00C9b2Dde0098D272f66C34C52A2-1786873013481
    $1.10

    Bought 5 Yes for Will SS Juve Stabia win on 2026-09-12? at 0.22

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

DE1
Devs777
Event PnL
+$123.20
Volume
$24,639.97
Positions
No
072
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
-$118.53
Volume
$23,705.54
Positions
YesYes
FL3
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$73.22
Volume
$4,827.29
Positions
YesNoNo
SH4
shxtest1
Event PnL
-$26.03
Volume
$4,697.58
Positions
NoYes
UP5
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
-$14.38
Volume
$2,499.80
Positions
YesNo
GO6
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
-$18.63
Volume
$1,241.67
Positions
Yes
SA7
Saber-greed
Event PnL
-$5.70
Volume
$1,139.40
Positions
Yes
FR8
FragMalDenRalle
Event PnL
-$9.00
Volume
$600.00
Positions
No

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "L.R. Vicenza vs. SS Juve Stabia"?

As of the latest update, Draw (L.R. Vicenza vs. SS Juve Stabia) leads the field as the frontrunner with a 100% win probability, followed by L.R. Vicenza at 0.1% and SS Juve Stabia at 0.1%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $149.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags L.R. Vicenza as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 0.1% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 47.9% — an Expected Value gap of +47.9%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Draw (L.R. Vicenza vs. SS Juve Stabia). The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 100%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 32.9%, a negative EV Gap of -67.1% that signals the contract is overpriced.

Are there any high-value dark horse options hidden in the long-tail data?

Absolutely. Beyond the headline outcomes, our model highlights under-the-radar potential in lower-ranked options. SS Juve Stabia holds a positive EV Gap of +23.6%. These contracts are discounted by live order books despite stronger quantitative backing.

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