M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis): Nicolas Zanellato vs Pietro Gava

Sep 16, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Nicolas Zanellato 50.0%
Pietro Gava 50.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis): Nicolas Zanellato vs Pietro Gava”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis): Nicolas Zanellato vs Pietro Gava is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,000% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 5,000%, while M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis): Nicolas Zanellato vs Pietro Gava Set 1 Winner sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis): Nicolas Zanellato vs Pietro Gava (5,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis): Nicolas Zanellato vs Pietro Gava is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Completed Match (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis): Nicolas Zanellato vs Pietro Gava Set 1 Winner (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis): Nicolas Zanellato vs Pietro Gava Set 1 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis): Nicolas Zanellato vs Pietro Gava Set 2 Winner (5,000%), M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis): Nicolas Zanellato vs Pietro Gava Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%), and M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis): Nicolas Zanellato vs Pietro Gava Set 1 O/U 8.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis): Nicolas Zanellato vs Pietro Gava Set 1 O/U 9.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis): Nicolas Zanellato vs Pietro Gava5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
2Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis): Nicolas Zanellato vs Pietro Gava Set 1 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis): Nicolas Zanellato vs Pietro Gava Set 2 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis): Nicolas Zanellato vs Pietro Gava Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis): Nicolas Zanellato vs Pietro Gava Set 1 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis): Nicolas Zanellato vs Pietro Gava Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis): Nicolas Zanellato vs Pietro Gava Set 1 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis): Nicolas Zanellato vs Pietro Gava Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis): Nicolas Zanellato vs Pietro Gava Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis): Nicolas Zanellato vs Pietro Gava Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis): Nicolas Zanellato vs Pietro Gava Match O/U 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis): Nicolas Zanellato vs Pietro Gava Match O/U 22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis): Nicolas Zanellato vs Pietro Gava Match O/U 23.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis): Nicolas Zanellato vs Pietro Gava Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis): Nicolas Zanellato vs Pietro Gava Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Zanellato and Pietro Gava in the M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis), Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 12:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Zanellato' if Nicolas Zanellato advances against Pietro Gava.

This market will resolve to 'Pietro Gava' if Pietro Gava advances against Nicolas Zanellato.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis): Nicolas Zanellato vs Pietro Gava"?

As of the latest update, M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis): Nicolas Zanellato vs Pietro Gava leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,000% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 5,000% and M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis): Nicolas Zanellato vs Pietro Gava Set 1 Winner at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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