M15 Shenzhen: Luca Staeheli vs Mikalai Haliak

$731 Vol
Nov 1, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Luca Staeheli 66.5%
Mikalai Haliak 33.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “M15 Shenzhen: Luca Staeheli vs Mikalai Haliak”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, M15 Shenzhen: Luca Staeheli vs Mikalai Haliak is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,850% chance of winning. M15 Shenzhen: Luca Staeheli vs Mikalai Haliak Set Handicap +/-1.5 follows in second place at 5,550%, while M15 Shenzhen: Luca Staeheli vs Mikalai Haliak Set Handicap +/-1.5 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $731, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • M15 Shenzhen: Luca Staeheli vs Mikalai Haliak (6,850%): Currently commanding the highest probability, M15 Shenzhen: Luca Staeheli vs Mikalai Haliak is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,850¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $731 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • M15 Shenzhen: Luca Staeheli vs Mikalai Haliak Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,550%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, M15 Shenzhen: Luca Staeheli vs Mikalai Haliak Set Handicap +/-1.5 maintains a 5,550% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,550¢.
  • M15 Shenzhen: Luca Staeheli vs Mikalai Haliak Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward M15 Shenzhen: Luca Staeheli vs Mikalai Haliak Set Handicap +/-1.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1M15 Shenzhen: Luca Staeheli vs Mikalai Haliak6850.0%$7316850¢-6750¢
2M15 Shenzhen: Luca Staeheli vs Mikalai Haliak Set Handicap +/-1.55550.0%—5550¢-5450¢
3M15 Shenzhen: Luca Staeheli vs Mikalai Haliak Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Staeheli and Mikalai Haliak in the M15 Shenzhen, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Luca Staeheli' if Luca Staeheli advances against Mikalai Haliak.

This market will resolve to 'Mikalai Haliak' if Mikalai Haliak advances against Luca Staeheli.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "M15 Shenzhen: Luca Staeheli vs Mikalai Haliak"?

As of the latest update, M15 Shenzhen: Luca Staeheli vs Mikalai Haliak leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,850% win probability, followed by M15 Shenzhen: Luca Staeheli vs Mikalai Haliak Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 5,550% and M15 Shenzhen: Luca Staeheli vs Mikalai Haliak Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $731, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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