W15 São Carlos: Marjorie Souza vs Barbara Gatica

—
Nov 21, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Barbara Gatica 84.0%
Marjorie Souza 16.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “W15 São Carlos: Marjorie Souza vs Barbara Gatica”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Barbara Gatica is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,450% chance of winning. Marjorie Souza follows in second place at 1,550%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Barbara Gatica (8,450%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Barbara Gatica is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,450¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Marjorie Souza (1,550%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Marjorie Souza maintains a 1,550% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 1,550¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Barbara Gatica8450.0%—8450¢-8350¢
2Marjorie Souza1550.0%—1550¢-1450¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Marjorie Souza and Barbara Gatica in the W15 São Carlos, Main Draw, originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Marjorie Souza' if Marjorie Souza advances against Barbara Gatica.

This market will resolve to 'Barbara Gatica' if Barbara Gatica advances against Marjorie Souza.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "W15 São Carlos: Marjorie Souza vs Barbara Gatica"?

As of the latest update, Barbara Gatica leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,450% win probability, followed by Marjorie Souza at 1,550%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Start trading