M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen

$7.9K Vol
Sep 30, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Patrick Schoen 50.5%
Francisco Rocha 49.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen Set 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,000% chance of winning. M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen Set 2 Winner follows in second place at 5,000%, while M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen Total Sets: O/U 2.5 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $7.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen Set 1 Winner (5,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen Set 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen Set 2 Winner (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen Set 2 Winner maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen Total Sets: O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen Set 1 O/U 8.5 (5,000%), M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,000%), and M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen Set 1 O/U 10.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen Set 2 O/U 8.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen Set 1 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
2M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen Set 2 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen Set 1 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen Set 1 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen Match O/U 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen Match O/U 22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen Match O/U 23.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen4950.0%$7.9K4950¢-4850¢
16Completed Match450.0%450¢-350¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Francisco Rocha and Patrick Schoen in the M25 Setubal, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Francisco Rocha' if Francisco Rocha advances against Patrick Schoen.

This market will resolve to 'Patrick Schoen' if Patrick Schoen advances against Francisco Rocha.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 23, 2026

  • 11:11 AM
    GDGdwov-67
    $2.00

    Bought 9.09091 Francisco Rocha for M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen at 0.22

  • 06:58 AM
    0X0x12251B87466a28C239A84fcAE115b39d3f5BE17f-1772134722517
    $20.00

    Sold 100 Francisco Rocha for M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen at 0.2

  • 06:58 AM
    0X0x12251B87466a28C239A84fcAE115b39d3f5BE17f-1772134722517
    $22.00

    Bought 100 Francisco Rocha for M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen at 0.22

  • 06:55 AM
    BABaguettebiencuite
    $7.27

    Bought 9.0875 Patrick Schoen for M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen at 0.8

  • 06:55 AM
    0X0x2eae941760a06555CB9425712eE85DA18C5c8D29-1772324429961
    $10.00

    Bought 12.5 Patrick Schoen for M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen at 0.8

  • 06:55 AM
    $1.10

    Bought 1.375 Patrick Schoen for M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen at 0.8

  • 06:55 AM
    $2.98

    Bought 3.725 Patrick Schoen for M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen at 0.8

  • 06:55 AM
    JAJan777
    $720.00

    Bought 900 Patrick Schoen for M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen at 0.8

  • 06:55 AM
    0X0x2eae941760a06555CB9425712eE85DA18C5c8D29-1772324429961
    $10.00

    Bought 12.5 Patrick Schoen for M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen at 0.8

  • 06:55 AM
    BABaguettebiencuite
    $11.97

    Bought 14.9625 Patrick Schoen for M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen at 0.8

  • 06:54 AM
    $1.10

    Bought 1.392404 Patrick Schoen for M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen at 0.79

  • 06:54 AM
    $2.98

    Bought 3.772152 Patrick Schoen for M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen at 0.79

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

JA1
Jan777
Event PnL
+$35.00
Volume
$4,000.00
Positions
Patrick Schoen
NO2
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
+$21.11
Volume
$2,049.55
Positions
Patrick Schoen
FB3
0xfB07…2542
Event PnL
-$20.00
Volume
$2,000.00
Positions
Francisco Rocha
074
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
-$27.81
Volume
$1,649.66
Positions
Francisco Rocha
VE5
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$8.75
Volume
$1,049.99
Positions
Francisco Rocha
CL6
clownly
Event PnL
+$3.00
Volume
$600.00
Positions
Francisco Rocha
BA7
bahsperiamobene
Event PnL
-$5.00
Volume
$333.33
Positions
Francisco Rocha
AV8
avotrade
Event PnL
-$1.25
Volume
$250.00
Positions
Francisco Rocha

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen"?

As of the latest update, M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen Set 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,000% win probability, followed by M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen Set 2 Winner at 5,000% and M25 Setubal: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen Total Sets: O/U 2.5 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $7.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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