M25 Monastir: Mirko Lagasio vs Fynn Kirschner

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Nov 22, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
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Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “M25 Monastir: Mirko Lagasio vs Fynn Kirschner”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Mirko Lagasio is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,000% chance of winning. Fynn Kirschner follows in second place at 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Mirko Lagasio (5,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Mirko Lagasio is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Fynn Kirschner (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Fynn Kirschner maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Mirko Lagasio5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
2Fynn Kirschner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Mirko Lagasio and Fynn Kirschner in the M25 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 15, 2026 at 7:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Mirko Lagasio' if Mirko Lagasio advances against Fynn Kirschner.

This market will resolve to 'Fynn Kirschner' if Fynn Kirschner advances against Mirko Lagasio.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "M25 Monastir: Mirko Lagasio vs Fynn Kirschner"?

As of the latest update, Mirko Lagasio leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,000% win probability, followed by Fynn Kirschner at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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