M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Arthur Laborde vs Sammy Guinau

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Nov 22, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
No trend data

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Arthur Laborde vs Sammy Guinau”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Sammy Guinau is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,050% chance of winning. Arthur Laborde follows in second place at 4,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Sammy Guinau (5,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Sammy Guinau is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Arthur Laborde (4,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Arthur Laborde maintains a 4,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 4,950¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Sammy Guinau5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
2Arthur Laborde4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Laborde and Sammy Guinau in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 15, 2026 at 9:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Arthur Laborde' if Arthur Laborde advances against Sammy Guinau.

This market will resolve to 'Sammy Guinau' if Sammy Guinau advances against Arthur Laborde.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Arthur Laborde vs Sammy Guinau"?

As of the latest update, Sammy Guinau leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,050% win probability, followed by Arthur Laborde at 4,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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