M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Keshav Chopra vs Aristarkh Safonov

$106.3K Vol
Sep 30, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Aristarkh Safonov 99.7%
Keshav Chopra 0.4%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Keshav Chopra vs Aristarkh Safonov”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 50% chance of winning. M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Keshav Chopra vs Aristarkh Safonov follows in second place at 35%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $106.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Completed Match (50%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 50¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Keshav Chopra vs Aristarkh Safonov (35%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Keshav Chopra vs Aristarkh Safonov maintains a 35% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 35¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Completed Match50.0%50¢50¢
2M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Keshav Chopra vs Aristarkh Safonov35.0%$106.3K35¢65¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Keshav Chopra and Aristarkh Safonov in the M25 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Keshav Chopra' if Keshav Chopra advances against Aristarkh Safonov.

This market will resolve to 'Aristarkh Safonov' if Aristarkh Safonov advances against Keshav Chopra.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 23, 2026

  • 08:42 AM
    PAPaperCut1k
    $30.00

    Bought 34.482753 Keshav Chopra for M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Keshav Chopra vs Aristarkh Safonov at 0.87

  • 07:49 AM
    PGpgktrio2
    $3.99

    Bought 26.6 Aristarkh Safonov for M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Keshav Chopra vs Aristarkh Safonov at 0.15

  • 04:24 AM
    APApuuuuh
    $4.00

    Bought 5 Under 2.5 for Keshav Chopra vs. Aristarkh Safonov: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.8

  • 04:24 AM
    $42.50

    Bought 50 Keshav Chopra for M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Keshav Chopra vs Aristarkh Safonov at 0.85

  • 04:24 AM
    APApuuuuh
    $3.50

    Bought 5.072464 Keshav Chopra for Set Handicap: Keshav Chopra (-1.5) vs Aristarkh Safonov (+1.5) at 0.69

  • 03:11 AM
    UNUNEB3154s4f251
    $42.50

    Bought 50 Keshav Chopra for M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Keshav Chopra vs Aristarkh Safonov at 0.85

  • 02:52 AM
    MYmymilly
    $1.56

    Bought 1.81 Keshav Chopra for M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Keshav Chopra vs Aristarkh Safonov at 0.86

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

CA1
carelia
Event PnL
-$0.50
Volume
$100.00
Positions
Aristarkh Safonov
UN2
UNEB3154s4f251
Event PnL
+$0.25
Volume
$50.00
Positions
Keshav Chopra
073
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
+$0.25
Volume
$50.00
Positions
Keshav Chopra
PA4
PaperCut1k
Event PnL
+$0.69
Volume
$34.48
Positions
Keshav Chopra
385
38791873984189
Event PnL
+$4.30
Volume
$32.88
Positions
Aristarkh Safonov
PG6
pgktrio2
Event PnL
-$1.06
Volume
$26.60
Positions
Aristarkh Safonov
PA7
Pan9X
Event PnL
+$1.00
Volume
$25.00
Positions
Keshav Chopra
RA8
RadioFreeZerg
Event PnL
+$2.46
Volume
$10.07
Positions
Aristarkh SafonovOver 2.5

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Keshav Chopra vs Aristarkh Safonov"?

As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 50% win probability, followed by M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Keshav Chopra vs Aristarkh Safonov at 35%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $106.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Get Started