"I Play Rocky" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

$4.9K Vol
Nov 23, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
70+ 96.7%
60+ 96.5%
75+ 94.5%
80+ 65.0%
85+ 27.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “"I Play Rocky" Rotten Tomatoes Score?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 60+ is dominating the market with an overwhelming 96.8% chance of winning. 70+ follows in second place at 96.5%, while 75+ sits in third with 90%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $4.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 60+ (96.8%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 60+ is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 97¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $131 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 70+ (96.5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 70+ maintains a 96.5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 97¢.
  • 75+ (90%): Sitting in third place with a 90% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 75+, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes 80+ (56.5%), and 85+ (27%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 80+ are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
160+96.8%$13197¢3¢
270+96.5%$14797¢4¢
375+90.0%$31690¢10¢
480+56.5%$2.7K56¢44¢
585+27.0%$1.7K27¢73¢

Result Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes "All Critics" Tomatometer score for I Play Rocky is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on November 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to "No" if no data is available by November 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome 85+ currently trades at 27%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 21.5%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -5.5%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies 60+ as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 96.8% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 99% — yielding an impressive +2.2% EV Gap.
  • Under-the-Radar Dark Horses Other notable discrepancies include 80+ (EV Gap: +0.7%). These long-tail opportunities are heavily discounted by the live order books despite stronger statistical backing from our predictive model.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
60+Best EV96.8%99.0%+2.2%
70+96.5%95.7%-0.8%
75+90.0%88.6%-1.4%
80+56.5%57.1%+0.7%
85+27.0%21.5%-5.5%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 29, 2026

  • 12:45 AM
    CRCrazykekbr
    $48.99

    Bought 49.99 Yes for Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? at 0.98

  • 12:34 AM
    XTxtxpleasecallme
    $15.38

    Bought 34.95 No for Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? at 0.44

Oct 28, 2026

  • 07:30 PM
    VIViscaElBarca
    $0.19

    Sold 9.69 No for Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? at 0.02

  • 07:30 PM
    ANanno16728199
    $28.80

    Bought 30 Yes for Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? at 0.96

  • 01:08 PM
    0X0xA6895027981D4AA5CB541b5f1d4024C32896E535-1767705826786
    $9.90

    Bought 30 No for Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? at 0.33

  • 01:07 PM
    XTxtxpleasecallme
    $16.50

    Bought 30 Yes for Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? at 0.55

  • 07:07 AM
    XTxtxpleasecallme
    $10.20

    Bought 30 No for Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? at 0.34

  • 07:06 AM
    XTxtxpleasecallme
    $16.50

    Bought 30 Yes for Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? at 0.55

Oct 27, 2026

  • 11:43 PM
    HIHigeafisio
    $4.08

    Sold 10.19 Yes for Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? at 0.4

  • 07:03 PM
    ERerdos-baconator
    $2.00

    Sold 25 No for Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? at 0.08

  • 03:47 PM
    ERerdos-baconator
    $2.25

    Bought 25 No for Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? at 0.09

  • 03:42 PM
    AYayosussybenny
    $45.90

    Bought 51 Yes for Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? at 0.9

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on ""I Play Rocky" Rotten Tomatoes Score?"?

As of the latest update, 60+ leads the field as the frontrunner with a 96.8% win probability, followed by 70+ at 96.5% and 75+ at 90%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $4.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags 60+ as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 96.8% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 99% — an Expected Value gap of +2.2%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around 85+. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 27%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 21.5%, a negative EV Gap of -5.5% that signals the contract is overpriced.

Are there any high-value dark horse options hidden in the long-tail data?

Absolutely. Beyond the headline outcomes, our model highlights under-the-radar potential in lower-ranked options. 80+ holds a positive EV Gap of +0.7%. These contracts are discounted by live order books despite stronger quantitative backing.

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