Hyperliquid listed on Binance by ...?

$245.7K Vol
Jan 1, 2027
Active
Probability Trend
December 31, 2026 18.5%
June 30, 2026 0.8%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Hyperliquid listed on Binance by ...?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, December 31, 2026 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 20% chance of winning. June 30, 2026 follows in second place at 1.7%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $245.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • December 31, 2026 (20%): Currently commanding the highest probability, December 31, 2026 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 20¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $238.2K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • June 30, 2026 (1.7%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, June 30, 2026 maintains a 1.7% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 2¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1December 31, 202620.0%$238.2K20¢80¢
2June 30, 20261.7%$7.5K98¢

Result Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the crypto token Hyperliquid ($HYPE) is listed for spot purchase on Binance by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be Binance, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies December 31, 2026 as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 20% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 39.4% — yielding an impressive +19.4% EV Gap.
  • Under-the-Radar Dark Horses Other notable discrepancies include June 30, 2026 (EV Gap: +3.3%). These long-tail opportunities are heavily discounted by the live order books despite stronger statistical backing from our predictive model.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
December 31, 2026Best EV20.0%39.4%+19.4%
June 30, 20261.7%5.0%+3.3%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jun 30, 2026

  • 08:02 AM
    COColala
    $0.00

    Sold 30 Yes for Hyperliquid listed on Binance by June 30, 2026? at 0

  • 05:35 AM
    GAgaut6375
    $1.60

    Bought 10 Yes for Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026? at 0.16

Jun 29, 2026

  • 08:47 PM
    TYtyrefi
    $1.20

    Bought 1.203333 No for Hyperliquid listed on Binance by June 30, 2026? at 1

  • 08:31 PM
    0X0xd6a800Ec7A3B34835Da84d53994b179B9E330E79-1776955307262
    $178.20

    Sold 180 No for Hyperliquid listed on Binance by June 30, 2026? at 0.99

  • 06:12 PM
    GIgibiles
    $2.00

    Bought 2.004007 No for Hyperliquid listed on Binance by June 30, 2026? at 1

  • 06:08 PM
    GEgerne
    $1.00

    Bought 1.002004 No for Hyperliquid listed on Binance by June 30, 2026? at 1

  • 04:23 PM
    ETetmteam
    $0.99

    Sold 1 No for Hyperliquid listed on Binance by June 30, 2026? at 0.99

  • 08:50 AM
    VOvote
    $9.00

    Bought 10.465114 No for Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026? at 0.86

  • 08:44 AM
    CLClutchOrCake
    $10.21

    Bought 51.07 Yes for Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026? at 0.2

  • 05:25 AM
    0X0xd6a800Ec7A3B34835Da84d53994b179B9E330E79-1776955307262
    $50.10

    Bought 50.100199 No for Hyperliquid listed on Binance by June 30, 2026? at 1

  • 03:21 AM
    KAKatrakila
    $54.15

    Sold 416.52 Yes for Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026? at 0.13

Jun 28, 2026

  • 11:47 PM
    0X0xd6a800Ec7A3B34835Da84d53994b179B9E330E79-1776955307262
    $50.10

    Bought 50.100199 No for Hyperliquid listed on Binance by June 30, 2026? at 1

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

PL1
planktonXD
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$1,425.55
Positions
YesYes
MA2
MaxEnt
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$1,229.98
Positions
No
AF3
0xaf82…17fe
Event PnL
-$5.97
Volume
$1,109.99
Positions
Yes
BA4
baofu168
Event PnL
+$2.87
Volume
$1,076.43
Positions
No
DU5
duduwei
Event PnL
+$6.18
Volume
$862.41
Positions
No
XI6
XieGuangKun
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$708.71
Positions
No
167
165198989
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$701.47
Positions
Yes
LE8
LemonBrothers
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$700.00
Positions
Yes

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Hyperliquid listed on Binance by ...?"?

As of the latest update, December 31, 2026 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 20% win probability, followed by June 30, 2026 at 1.7%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $245.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags December 31, 2026 as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 20% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 39.4% — an Expected Value gap of +19.4%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

Are there any high-value dark horse options hidden in the long-tail data?

Absolutely. Beyond the headline outcomes, our model highlights under-the-radar potential in lower-ranked options. June 30, 2026 holds a positive EV Gap of +3.3%. These contracts are discounted by live order books despite stronger quantitative backing.

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