
Grenoble Foot 38 vs. FC Annecy
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Grenoble Foot 38 vs. FC Annecy”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, FC Annecy is dominating the market with an overwhelming 40% chance of winning. Draw (Grenoble Foot 38 vs. FC Annecy) follows in second place at 31.5%, while Grenoble Foot 38 sits in third with 29.5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $71.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- FC Annecy (40%): Currently commanding the highest probability, FC Annecy is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 40¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $64.8K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Draw (Grenoble Foot 38 vs. FC Annecy) (31.5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Draw (Grenoble Foot 38 vs. FC Annecy) maintains a 31.5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 32¢.
- Grenoble Foot 38 (29.5%): Sitting in third place with a 29.5% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Grenoble Foot 38, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Annecy | 40.0% | $64.8K | 40¢ | 60¢ |
| 2 | Draw (Grenoble Foot 38 vs. FC Annecy) | 31.5% | $1.3K | 32¢ | 69¢ |
| 3 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 29.5% | $5.2K | 30¢ | 71¢ |
Result Rules
This event is for the upcoming Ligue 2 game, scheduled for Friday, September 4, 2026 between Grenoble Foot 38 and FC Annecy.
AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps
While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.
Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.
Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities
Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:
- The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Grenoble Foot 38 as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 29.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 31.9% — yielding an impressive +2.4% EV Gap.
- Under-the-Radar Dark Horses Other notable discrepancies include Draw (Grenoble Foot 38 vs. FC Annecy) (EV Gap: +0.6%). These long-tail opportunities are heavily discounted by the live order books despite stronger statistical backing from our predictive model.
| Market | Trade Value | Fair Value | EV Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Annecy | 40.0% | 40.6% | +0.6% |
| Draw (Grenoble Foot 38 vs. FC Annecy) | 31.5% | 32.1% | +0.6% |
| Grenoble Foot 38Best EV | 29.5% | 31.9% | +2.4% |
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 4, 2026
- 08:06 PM——$338.70
Sold 338.7 Yes for Will FC Annecy win on 2026-09-04? at 1
- 08:06 PM——$1.38
Sold 1.38 No for Will Grenoble Foot 38 win on 2026-09-04? at 1
- 08:02 PMDZdzodzoba777$1.12
Sold 1.12 Yes for Will FC Annecy win on 2026-09-04? at 1
- 08:01 PM——$108.69
Sold 108.69 No for Will Grenoble Foot 38 vs. FC Annecy end in a draw? at 1
- 08:01 PMSHshahidali$103.29
Sold 103.29 Yes for Will FC Annecy win on 2026-09-04? at 1
- 07:54 PMHOHorrogMan$10.31
Sold 10.41 No for Will Grenoble Foot 38 vs. FC Annecy end in a draw? at 0.99
- 07:54 PM0X0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105$78.40
Bought 80 Yes for Will FC Annecy win on 2026-09-04? at 0.98
- 07:54 PMGUGuajjangi$1.00
Bought 100 No for Will FC Annecy win on 2026-09-04? at 0.01
- 07:54 PMCLclooso$0.17
Sold 5.55 No for Will FC Annecy win on 2026-09-04? at 0.03
- 07:54 PMJOjojoba777$0.01
Sold 0.45 No for Will FC Annecy win on 2026-09-04? at 0.03
- 07:53 PMRARau5cher$1.00
Bought 25 No for Will FC Annecy win on 2026-09-04? at 0.04
- 07:53 PMSESecondhandvinyl$9.70
Bought 10 Yes for Will FC Annecy win on 2026-09-04? at 0.97
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Grenoble Foot 38 vs. FC Annecy"?
As of the latest update, FC Annecy leads the field as the frontrunner with a 40% win probability, followed by Draw (Grenoble Foot 38 vs. FC Annecy) at 31.5% and Grenoble Foot 38 at 29.5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $71.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?
The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.
Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?
Our latest run flags Grenoble Foot 38 as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 29.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 31.9% — an Expected Value gap of +2.4%, making it the premium value play in this pool.
Are there any high-value dark horse options hidden in the long-tail data?
Absolutely. Beyond the headline outcomes, our model highlights under-the-radar potential in lower-ranked options. Draw (Grenoble Foot 38 vs. FC Annecy) holds a positive EV Gap of +0.6%. These contracts are discounted by live order books despite stronger quantitative backing.
