ES Troyes AC vs. Olympique de Marseille - More Markets

$122.8K Vol
Oct 11, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Over 94.5%
Under 5.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “ES Troyes AC vs. Olympique de Marseille - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 49% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $122.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (49%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 49¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $2.0K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score49.0%$2.0K49¢51¢

Result Rules

More markets for the Ligue 1 game, scheduled for October 11 at 2:45 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Both Teams to Score as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 49% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 61.8% — yielding an impressive +12.8% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to ScoreBest EV49.0%61.8%+12.8%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 11, 2026

  • 09:20 AM
    0X0x4B0C7E6E1ac4509b8b2198C98977693447567a20-1779338302000
    $5.00

    Bought 5.101 Under for ES Troyes AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: ES Troyes AC 2nd Half O/U 3.5 at 0.98

  • 08:51 AM
    JOJoe.K
    $3.00

    Bought 11.538462 Over for ES Troyes AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Olympique de Marseille O/U 2.5 at 0.26

  • 08:45 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $40.00

    Bought 100 Under for ES Troyes AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5 at 0.4

  • 08:26 AM
    COColdMath
    $37.50

    Bought 50 ES Troyes AC for Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5) at 0.75

  • 07:50 AM
    TVtvastr
    $3.00

    Bought 25 Olympique de Marseille for Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-2.5) at 0.12

  • 07:19 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $4.95

    Bought 5 Under for ES Troyes AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: ES Troyes AC O/U 4.5 at 0.99

  • 07:19 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $4.95

    Bought 5.0505 Under for ES Troyes AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Olympique de Marseille 1st Half O/U 3.5 at 0.98

  • 07:19 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $4.89

    Bought 4.94 Under for ES Troyes AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Olympique de Marseille 1st Half O/U 3.5 at 0.99

  • 07:19 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $4.95

    Bought 5.0505 Under for ES Troyes AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: ES Troyes AC 1st Half O/U 3.5 at 0.98

  • 07:19 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $4.89

    Bought 4.94 Under for ES Troyes AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: ES Troyes AC 1st Half O/U 3.5 at 0.99

  • 07:04 AM
    THTheRomanProcurator
    $11.97

    Bought 30.692308 No for ES Troyes AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Score at 0.39

  • 07:04 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $1.90

    Bought 5 No for ES Troyes AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Score at 0.38

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FL1
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$13.85
Volume
$888.23
Positions
YesOverUnder+8
CO2
ColdMath
Event PnL
-$3.75
Volume
$429.64
Positions
OverUnderES Troyes AC
GO3
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
+$1.70
Volume
$326.77
Positions
Olympique de MarseilleES Troyes AC
284
0x2810…5842
Event PnL
-$0.50
Volume
$300.00
Positions
NoUnder
MI5
Ming1997
Event PnL
-$1.32
Volume
$263.16
Positions
ES Troyes AC
996
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
+$1.41
Volume
$217.66
Positions
OverES Troyes ACOver+1
CA7
carelia
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$215.00
Positions
ES Troyes ACUnder
PI8
piepi
Event PnL
-$0.53
Volume
$201.10
Positions
NoOverOver+1

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "ES Troyes AC vs. Olympique de Marseille - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 49% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $122.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Both Teams to Score as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 49% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 61.8% — an Expected Value gap of +12.8%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

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