OGC Nice vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901

$541K Vol
Oct 30, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Yes 100.0%
No 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “OGC Nice vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, OGC Nice is dominating the market with an overwhelming 35.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $541K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • OGC Nice (35.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, OGC Nice is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 36¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1OGC Nice35.5%—36¢65¢

Result Rules

This event is for the upcoming Ligue 1 game, scheduled for Saturday, October 31, 2026 between OGC Nice and Stade Rennais FC 1901.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies OGC Nice as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 35.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 65.2% — yielding an impressive +29.7% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
OGC NiceBest EV35.5%65.2%+29.7%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 30, 2026

  • 09:32 AM
    KIKing2323
    $37.00

    Bought 137.037038 Yes for Will OGC Nice vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw? at 0.27

  • 09:31 AM
    KIKing2323
    $100.00

    Bought 277.777778 Yes for Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-31? at 0.36

  • 09:30 AM
    ——
    $4.65

    Bought 12.916667 Yes for Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-31? at 0.36

  • 09:29 AM
    0X0x0Ca6258BDdC33f7c7367ab336918663451556AE4-1772472054430
    $2.00

    Bought 5.263158 Yes for Will OGC Nice win on 2026-10-31? at 0.38

  • 09:28 AM
    ZLZLYU
    $6.00

    Bought 16.666667 Yes for Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-31? at 0.36

  • 09:22 AM
    ZZZzzz87
    $742.68

    Bought 2063 Yes for Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-31? at 0.36

  • 08:49 AM
    OCOctant-audit
    $1.00

    Bought 2.777778 Yes for Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-31? at 0.36

  • 08:48 AM
    FEferdinand2
    $34.96

    Bought 54.62 No for Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-31? at 0.64

  • 08:48 AM
    HRHRTrading
    $34.72

    Bought 54.25 No for Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-31? at 0.64

  • 08:48 AM
    DEderric-terrain
    $3.20

    Bought 5 No for Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-31? at 0.64

  • 08:48 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $532.56

    Bought 832.125 No for Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-31? at 0.64

  • 08:38 AM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 3.703704 Yes for Will OGC Nice vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw? at 0.27

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

PU1
purplegatto
Event PnL
-$311.63
Volume
$35,063.43
Positions
Yes
MA2
mama111
Event PnL
+$112.85
Volume
$22,570.99
Positions
No
ZZ3
Zzzz87
Event PnL
-$285.03
Volume
$15,926.00
Positions
YesYesNo
UP4
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$244.71
Volume
$13,851.67
Positions
NoNoYes
MO5
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
-$13.15
Volume
$11,494.00
Positions
YesYesYes
FO6
Forecastication2
Event PnL
-$150.46
Volume
$11,100.00
Positions
Yes
VE7
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$33.27
Volume
$9,585.13
Positions
NoNo
IO8
iorparis222
Event PnL
+$135.00
Volume
$9,000.00
Positions
No

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "OGC Nice vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901"?

As of the latest update, OGC Nice leads the field as the frontrunner with a 35.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $541K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags OGC Nice as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 35.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 65.2% — an Expected Value gap of +29.7%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

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