Bolivia vs. Gambia
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Bolivia vs. Gambia”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Draw (Bolivia vs. Gambia) is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,590% chance of winning. Bolivia follows in second place at 285%, while Gambia sits in third with 185%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $248K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Draw (Bolivia vs. Gambia) (9,590%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Draw (Bolivia vs. Gambia) is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,590¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $167.2K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Bolivia (285%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Bolivia maintains a 285% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 285¢.
- Gambia (185%): Sitting in third place with a 185% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Gambia, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Draw (Bolivia vs. Gambia) | 9590.0% | $167.2K | 9590¢ | -9490¢ |
| 2 | Bolivia | 285.0% | $53.0K | 285¢ | -185¢ |
| 3 | Gambia | 185.0% | $39.7K | 185¢ | -85¢ |
Result Rules
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Sunday, October 4, 2026 between Bolivia and Gambia.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Oct 2, 2026
- 11:12 AMSAsafetyashdlaaa$10.01
Bought 10.649622 Yes for Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw? at 0.94
- 11:11 AMMOmooseborzoi$1.11
Bought 37 Yes for Will Gambia win on 2026-10-04? at 0.03
- 11:11 AMMOmooseborzoi$1.80
Bought 60 Yes for Will Gambia win on 2026-10-04? at 0.03
- 11:11 AMSAsafetyashdlaaa$10.01
Bought 10.649622 Yes for Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw? at 0.94
- 11:11 AMMOmooseborzoi$1.95
Bought 65 Yes for Will Gambia win on 2026-10-04? at 0.03
- 11:11 AMMOmooseborzoi$3.76
Bought 47 No for Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw? at 0.08
- 11:11 AMMOmooseborzoi$1.88
Bought 94 Yes for Will Gambia win on 2026-10-04? at 0.02
- 11:11 AMMOmooseborzoi$14.08
Bought 176 No for Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw? at 0.08
- 11:11 AMMOmooseborzoi$4.24
Bought 53 No for Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw? at 0.08
- 11:11 AMMOmooseborzoi$23.84
Bought 298 No for Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw? at 0.08
- 11:10 AM0X0xb2e42D29690B7B63335a03C0Fd5E64Df0681B7f1-1778811987251$53.90
Bought 55 No for Will Gambia win on 2026-10-04? at 0.98
- 11:10 AM0X0x16c7337106A0B3a06fF863A1c06D8e2cbf7322cd-1778811943243$4.40
Bought 55 No for Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw? at 0.08
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Bolivia vs. Gambia"?
As of the latest update, Draw (Bolivia vs. Gambia) leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,590% win probability, followed by Bolivia at 285% and Gambia at 185%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $248K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.