
RCD Mallorca vs. Córdoba CF
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “RCD Mallorca vs. Córdoba CF”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, RCD Mallorca is dominating the market with an overwhelming 54.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $148.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- RCD Mallorca (54.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, RCD Mallorca is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 55¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $105.2K in volume.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RCD Mallorca | 54.5% | $105.2K | 55¢ | 45¢ |
Result Rules
In the upcoming La Liga 2 game between RCD Mallorca and Córdoba CF, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps
While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.
Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.
Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities
Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:
- The Most Overvalued Outcome RCD Mallorca currently trades at 54.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 44.6%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -9.9%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
| Market | Trade Value | Fair Value | EV Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| RCD Mallorca | 54.5% | 44.6% | -9.9% |
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Nov 14, 2026
- 09:48 AMCAcaiopaiN$20.00
Bought 35.714286 Yes for Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-11-14? at 0.56
- 09:39 AMDEdentleightadman$1.00
Bought 1.2987 No for Will RCD Mallorca vs. Córdoba CF end in a draw? at 0.77
- 09:26 AMDEdentleightadman$1.00
Bought 1.2987 No for Will RCD Mallorca vs. Córdoba CF end in a draw? at 0.77
- 08:35 AM——$3.05
Bought 5.545455 Yes for Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-11-14? at 0.55
- 08:34 AMILilqar330$2.75
Bought 5.978261 No for Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-11-14? at 0.46
- 08:33 AM0X0x6dC9C432fdcDD327350CC62104E3403B7C984704-1771869359622$12.52
Bought 22.772 Yes for Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-11-14? at 0.55
- 08:29 AMFAFatSlag$2.73
Bought 5.046482 Yes for Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-11-14? at 0.54
- 08:29 AMFAFatSlag$2.70
Bought 5.09434 Yes for Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-11-14? at 0.53
- 08:29 AMRArabbitfoot1$64.91
Bought 122.471697 Yes for Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-11-14? at 0.53
- 08:29 AMRArabbitfoot1$14.28
Bought 26.943397 Yes for Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-11-14? at 0.53
- 08:27 AMOCOctant-audit$1.00
Bought 4.166667 Yes for Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-11-14? at 0.24
- 08:27 AM——$4.50
Bought 9.375 No for Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-11-14? at 0.48
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "RCD Mallorca vs. Córdoba CF"?
As of the latest update, RCD Mallorca leads the field as the frontrunner with a 54.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $148.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?
The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.
Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?
Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around RCD Mallorca. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 54.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 44.6%, a negative EV Gap of -9.9% that signals the contract is overpriced.
