CD Tenerife vs. AD Ceuta FC - More Markets

$127.2K Vol
Nov 15, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Over 73.5%
Under 26.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “CD Tenerife vs. AD Ceuta FC - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 51.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $127.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (51.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 52¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $6.6K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score51.5%$6.6K52¢49¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming La Liga 2 game between CD Tenerife and AD Ceuta FC, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score currently trades at 51.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 51.4%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -0.1%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score51.5%51.4%-0.1%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 15, 2026

  • 10:02 AM
    PApaperplay
    $1.60

    Bought 5 Under for CD Tenerife vs. AD Ceuta FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.32

  • 08:36 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $2.85

    Bought 5.816327 Over for CD Tenerife vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 2.5 at 0.49

  • 08:03 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $4.76

    Bought 6.704224 AD Ceuta FC for Spread: CD Tenerife (-1.5) at 0.71

  • 07:49 AM
    0X0xC905611985A8a4A63C98E1c66a8EEB88De84850b-1774690196695
    $1.00

    Bought 1.923077 Yes for CD Tenerife vs. AD Ceuta FC: Both Teams to Score at 0.52

  • 07:48 AM
    0X0xC905611985A8a4A63C98E1c66a8EEB88De84850b-1774690196695
    $308.50

    Bought 593.269231 Yes for CD Tenerife vs. AD Ceuta FC: Both Teams to Score at 0.52

  • 06:30 AM
    SUsuntori
    $3.79

    Bought 12.633334 CD Tenerife for Spread: CD Tenerife (-1.5) at 0.3

  • 05:51 AM
    KEKennyLive
    $2.00

    Bought 4.081633 Over for CD Tenerife vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 2.5 at 0.49

  • 05:51 AM
    EOeornedlt
    $4.00

    Bought 7.692308 Under for CD Tenerife vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 2.5 at 0.52

  • 05:51 AM
    EOeornedlt
    $4.00

    Bought 5.405403 Under for CD Tenerife vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 3.5 at 0.74

  • 05:51 AM
    EOeornedlt
    $4.00

    Bought 4.54545 Under for CD Tenerife vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 4.5 at 0.88

  • 04:22 AM
    MBmbsquare
    $5.00

    Bought 6.666664 Over for CD Tenerife vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 1.5 at 0.75

  • 04:03 AM
    VEVenusian
    $48.27

    Bought 185.653847 Under for CD Tenerife vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 1.5 at 0.26

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FL1
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$3,108.81
Volume
$23,293.72
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+12
GO2
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
-$5,099.94
Volume
$8,969.72
Positions
AD Ceuta FCCD TenerifeOver+7
RN3
RN1
Event PnL
+$301.72
Volume
$6,271.09
Positions
OverAD Ceuta FCNo+6
WI4
Winning2...
Event PnL
-$1,133.00
Volume
$4,000.00
Positions
OverOver
AJ5
AJS27
Event PnL
-$2.00
Volume
$4,000.00
Positions
Under
SA6
SatoshiUzumaki
Event PnL
+$1,524.38
Volume
$3,747.00
Positions
UnderUnder
MO7
mouzsynapse
Event PnL
-$359.78
Volume
$3,285.66
Positions
Over
BA8
bananananatooo
Event PnL
+$2,375.26
Volume
$3,256.00
Positions
CD Tenerife

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "CD Tenerife vs. AD Ceuta FC - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 51.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $127.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 51.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 51.4%, a negative EV Gap of -0.1% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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