Next GPT Terra (6.2+) released by...?

Según los datos más recientes del mercado de predicción para la consulta “Next GPT Terra (6.2+) released by...?”, los operadores han formado un fuerte consenso.

Actualmente, February 28 domina el mercado con una abrumadora probabilidad de victoria del 6250%. December 31 le sigue en segundo lugar con 4800%. El volumen de apuestas de este mercado ya alcanza $293, lo que refleja un enorme interés.

Para evaluar mejor la posición de cada resultado posible, el mercado puede segmentarse en tres niveles de negociación según la probabilidad implícita y el precio de los contratos:

🥇 Nivel 1: El líder dominante

• February 28 (6250%): Con la probabilidad más alta, February 28 cuenta con un fuerte respaldo del libro de órdenes. Quienes quieran apostar por este resultado se enfrentan a un precio de contrato “Buy Yes” de 6250¢, señal de una gran convicción del mercado. Solo este contrato ha generado $219 de volumen.

🥈 Nivel 2: Los principales aspirantes

• December 31 (4800%): Como la alternativa más viable, December 31 mantiene una probabilidad del 4800% de resolverse a favor. Sus acciones “Buy Yes” cotizan actualmente a 4800¢.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Terra model (6.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 6.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 6.2 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra or GPT-6.1 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-7 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 6.2, such as GPT-6.1 Terra (released October 26, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, GPT-6.1 Sol, or GPT-6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-6.1 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.