Millwall FC vs. Swansea City AFC - More Markets

$153.9K Vol
Oct 13, 2026
Resolved
Probability Trend
Over 100.0%
Under 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Millwall FC vs. Swansea City AFC - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 26% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $153.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (26%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 26¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $4.9K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score26.0%$4.9K26¢74¢

Result Rules

More markets for the EFL Championship game, scheduled for October 13 at 2:45 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Both Teams to Score as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 26% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 55.4% — yielding an impressive +29.4% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to ScoreBest EV26.0%55.4%+29.4%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 13, 2026

  • 08:57 PM
    SCsc1pt0x
    $185.00

    Sold 185 Over for Millwall FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 0.5 at 1

  • 08:53 PM
    GUGustavoJonck
    $67.71

    Sold 67.71 Under for Millwall FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5 at 1

  • 08:49 PM
    ANanonymousname
    $4.00

    Sold 4 No for Millwall FC vs. Swansea City AFC: Both Teams to Score at 1

  • 08:44 PM
    IVIvo-Deadlock
    $451.39

    Sold 451.39 Over for Millwall FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 0.5 at 1

  • 08:41 PM
    ELElite-Consent-Customize6
    $5.00

    Sold 5 Under for Millwall FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5 at 1

  • 08:41 PM
    COCoinTrick
    $170.00

    Bought 170 Under for Millwall FC vs. Swansea City AFC: Swansea City AFC O/U 1.5 at 1

  • 08:41 PM
    COCoinTrick
    $170.00

    Bought 170 Under for Millwall FC vs. Swansea City AFC: Millwall FC O/U 0.5 at 1

  • 08:40 PM
    0X0x97C9758659D8F0E2ae0e75092B6dC2000c6C80D5-1778525760484
    $25.00

    Bought 25 Under for Millwall FC vs. Swansea City AFC: Swansea City AFC O/U 1.5 at 1

  • 08:40 PM
    ——
    $4.99

    Bought 4.994995 Under for Millwall FC vs. Swansea City AFC: Swansea City AFC O/U 1.5 at 1

  • 08:40 PM
    MYMyBettingFuture
    $81.34

    Sold 81.34 Under for Millwall FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5 at 1

  • 08:40 PM
    MYMyBettingFuture
    $199.00

    Sold 199 Millwall FC for Spread: Swansea City AFC (-1.5) at 1

  • 08:40 PM
    0X0x97C9758659D8F0E2ae0e75092B6dC2000c6C80D5-1778525760484
    $25.00

    Bought 25 Under for Millwall FC vs. Swansea City AFC: Millwall FC O/U 0.5 at 1

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

UP1
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
-$7,656.99
Volume
$26,503.29
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+12
FL2
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$2,939.79
Volume
$20,472.02
Positions
OverNoUnder+14
FE3
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$62.28
Volume
$13,168.84
Positions
Under
KY4
Kyn008
Event PnL
+$64.08
Volume
$12,815.66
Positions
Over
815
0x8191…da72
Event PnL
+$1,567.65
Volume
$8,512.62
Positions
UnderUnderUnder
RN6
RN1
Event PnL
-$2,641.68
Volume
$8,357.12
Positions
OverUnderUnder+2
GO7
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
-$1,036.02
Volume
$6,389.07
Positions
OverUnderUnder+4
SE8
sentrio
Event PnL
+$948.31
Volume
$5,573.47
Positions
OverUnder

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Millwall FC vs. Swansea City AFC - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 26% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $153.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Both Teams to Score as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 26% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 55.4% — an Expected Value gap of +29.4%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

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