Ipswich Town FC vs. Arsenal FC - More Markets

$90.3K Vol
Sep 15, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Arsenal FC 54.5%
Ipswich Town FC 45.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Ipswich Town FC vs. Arsenal FC - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 48.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $90.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (48.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 49¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $1.0K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score48.5%$1.0K49¢52¢

Result Rules

More markets for the EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) game, scheduled for September 15 at 3:00 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score currently trades at 48.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 45%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -3.5%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score48.5%45.0%-3.5%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 15, 2026

  • 08:53 AM
    $10.01

    Bought 10.214476 Arsenal FC for Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5) at 0.98

  • 08:53 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $7.67

    Bought 14.75 No for Ipswich Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score at 0.52

  • 08:11 AM
    0X0xca0c6d9b7A2C0cB9582591Cd2D8ff42D5674b9B6-1751220806251
    $4.80

    Bought 5 Over for Ipswich Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5 at 0.96

  • 08:03 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $11.18

    Bought 18.327869 Over for Ipswich Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 at 0.61

  • 08:00 AM
    0X0xd4d318b2D64630f62f2dbE0b12132A149abE1b0b-1769622265858
    $1.00

    Bought 3.333334 Arsenal FC for Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5) at 0.3

  • 08:00 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $1.73

    Bought 5.965518 Arsenal FC for Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5) at 0.29

  • 08:00 AM
    0X0xf0C1936ddbEBF206ddAE13509B76DB47086A853B-1789331868543
    $0.01

    Bought 0.03 Arsenal FC for Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5) at 0.29

  • 08:00 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $3.06

    Bought 8.052632 Over for Ipswich Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 at 0.38

  • 08:00 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $6.68

    Bought 23.034483 Arsenal FC for Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5) at 0.29

  • 08:00 AM
    0X0xf0C1936ddbEBF206ddAE13509B76DB47086A853B-1789331868543
    $1.16

    Bought 4 Arsenal FC for Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5) at 0.29

  • 08:00 AM
    GOGoalLineGhost
    $9.16

    Bought 11.17 Over for Ipswich Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 at 0.82

  • 07:00 AM
    RIRinzooffical
    $24.50

    Bought 25.2577 Under for Ipswich Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: Ipswich Town FC O/U 2.5 at 0.97

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

NI1
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$11.15
Volume
$6,942.00
Positions
Arsenal FCYes
FL2
Flaznorp
Event PnL
-$29.87
Volume
$5,960.00
Positions
Ipswich Town FCArsenal FCNo+12
0F3
0F62
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$3,557.00
Positions
Over
6B4
0x6B67…1719
Event PnL
+$142.62
Volume
$3,189.54
Positions
Arsenal FC
GO5
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
-$1.95
Volume
$2,554.90
Positions
Arsenal FCIpswich Town FCOver
996
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
+$8.42
Volume
$2,456.33
Positions
Ipswich Town FCOverUnder+1
FB7
0xfB07…2542
Event PnL
+$11.98
Volume
$2,396.42
Positions
Ipswich Town FC
KN8
KnightDasCapital
Event PnL
-$45.00
Volume
$2,000.00
Positions
Ipswich Town FCUnder

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Ipswich Town FC vs. Arsenal FC - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 48.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $90.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 48.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 45%, a negative EV Gap of -3.5% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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