"Ebenezer" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

$12.5K Vol
Nov 16, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
20+ 92.0%
30+ 80.5%
40+ 74.0%
50+ 50.0%
60+ 34.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “"Ebenezer" Rotten Tomatoes Score?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 20+ is dominating the market with an overwhelming 92% chance of winning. 30+ follows in second place at 80.5%, while 40+ sits in third with 74%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $12.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 20+ (92%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 20+ is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 92¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $1.5K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 30+ (80.5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 30+ maintains a 80.5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 81¢.
  • 40+ (74%): Sitting in third place with a 74% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 40+, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes 50+ (50%), 60+ (34%), and 70+ (24%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 50+ are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
120+92.0%$1.5K92¢8¢
230+80.5%$14381¢20¢
340+74.0%$3.6K74¢26¢
450+50.0%$2.0K50¢50¢
560+34.0%$1.7K34¢66¢
670+24.0%$3.7K24¢76¢

Result Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes "All Critics" Tomatometer score for Ebenezer is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on November 16, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to "No" if no data is available by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome 70+ currently trades at 24%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 11.6%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -12.4%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies 30+ as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 80.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 87% — yielding an impressive +6.5% EV Gap.
  • Under-the-Radar Dark Horses Other notable discrepancies include 40+ (EV Gap: +2.7%) and 50+ (EV Gap: +2.7%). These long-tail opportunities are heavily discounted by the live order books despite stronger statistical backing from our predictive model.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
20+92.0%89.6%-2.4%
30+Best EV80.5%87.0%+6.5%
40+74.0%76.7%+2.7%
50+50.0%52.7%+2.7%
60+34.0%34.8%+0.8%
70+24.0%11.6%-12.4%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 27, 2026

  • 11:18 PM
    COcongmqian-gendan
    $3.50

    Bought 5.072464 No for Will "Ebenezer" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? at 0.69

  • 11:18 PM
    JIjimmer-fredette
    $150.78

    Bought 320.8 No for Will "Ebenezer" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? at 0.47

  • 11:17 PM
    JIjimmer-fredette
    $229.45

    Bought 353 No for Will "Ebenezer" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? at 0.65

  • 11:17 PM
    ISIstaroth
    $69.00

    Bought 100 No for Will "Ebenezer" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? at 0.69

  • 07:23 PM
    ANanonymoususer10
    $47.25

    Bought 75 No for Will "Ebenezer" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? at 0.63

  • 06:54 PM
    0X0x3340d23dE3275300f88ABFD8803B2f9Ea15f13C8-1769572617408
    $4.65

    Bought 5 Yes for Will "Ebenezer" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? at 0.93

  • 06:54 PM
    AYayosussybenny
    $30.41

    Bought 33.05 Yes for Will "Ebenezer" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? at 0.92

  • 06:39 PM
    ANanno16728199
    $8.44

    Bought 9.274722 Yes for Will "Ebenezer" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? at 0.91

  • 06:37 PM
    ANanno16728199
    $46.45

    Bought 51.044562 Yes for Will "Ebenezer" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? at 0.91

  • 05:07 PM
    XTxtxpleasecallme
    $6.42

    Bought 107 No for Will "Ebenezer" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? at 0.06

  • 04:09 PM
    ERerdos-baconator
    $27.60

    Sold 30 Yes for Will "Ebenezer" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? at 0.92

  • 03:46 PM
    AYayosussybenny
    $139.50

    Bought 150 Yes for Will "Ebenezer" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? at 0.93

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

AT1
attempt-most
Event PnL
-$30.37
Volume
$809.35
Positions
NoYes
CH2
chessplayer
Event PnL
+$34.89
Volume
$767.15
Positions
YesYesYes+1
XT3
xtxpleasecallme
Event PnL
+$22.96
Volume
$745.28
Positions
YesYesNo+2
JI4
jimmer-fredette
Event PnL
+$7.54
Volume
$673.80
Positions
NoNo
EY5
eyeneye
Event PnL
+$3.22
Volume
$603.00
Positions
Yes
AN6
anonymoususer10
Event PnL
+$2.32
Volume
$538.29
Positions
NoNo
RO7
rocky42011
Event PnL
+$1.76
Volume
$476.79
Positions
YesYesYes
MO8
molodoyy
Event PnL
+$13.93
Volume
$382.50
Positions
Yes

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on ""Ebenezer" Rotten Tomatoes Score?"?

As of the latest update, 20+ leads the field as the frontrunner with a 92% win probability, followed by 30+ at 80.5% and 40+ at 74%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $12.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags 30+ as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 80.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 87% — an Expected Value gap of +6.5%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around 70+. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 24%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 11.6%, a negative EV Gap of -12.4% that signals the contract is overpriced.

Are there any high-value dark horse options hidden in the long-tail data?

Absolutely. Beyond the headline outcomes, our model highlights under-the-radar potential in lower-ranked options. 40+ holds a positive EV Gap of +2.7%, and 50+ shows +2.7%. These contracts are discounted by live order books despite stronger quantitative backing.

Start trading