
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Group B”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 2.5 Games follows in second place at 9,995%, while Ends in Daytime sits in third with 9,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $268.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Match Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $155.3K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 2.5 Games maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
- Ends in Daytime (9,050%): Sitting in third place with a 9,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Ends in Daytime, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Ends in Daytime (9,050%), Ends in Daytime (5,000%), and Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Destroy Barracks are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 9995.0% | $155.3K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | O/U 2.5 Games | 9995.0% | $27 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Ends in Daytime | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 4 | Ends in Daytime | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 5 | Ends in Daytime | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Any Player Rampage | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 11 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 12 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 13 | Any Player Rampage | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 14 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 15 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 16 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 17 | Any Player Rampage | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 18 | Game 2 Winner | 5.0% | $74.3K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 19 | Game Handicap: TM (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5) | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 20 | Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Two Move (+1.5) | 5.0% | $50 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Yellow Submarine and Two Move in the European Pro League Group B, initially scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine" if Yellow Submarine win the match against Two Move.
This market will resolve to "Two Move" if Two Move win the match against Yellow Submarine.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 16, 2026
- 11:15 PMIBibrahim123k$4.30
Sold 4.3 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 1
- 10:57 PMPPPpLcap$40.88
Sold 40.88 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 1
- 10:56 PMFRfriedchickie$1,076.84
Sold 1076.84 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 1
- 10:55 PMCICirilka$100.76
Sold 100.76 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 1
- 10:51 PM434356ee$6.47
Sold 6.47 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 1
- 10:49 PMKAkantesher$50.57
Sold 50.57 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 1
- 10:47 PMBEBernie.L.$300.00
Sold 300 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 1
- 10:46 PMIAiamnotwhoiwas$139.75
Sold 139.75 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 1
- 10:46 PMMQmqww$3,491.46
Sold 3491.46 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 1
- 10:46 PMMQmqww$182.15
Sold 182.15 Two Move for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move - Game 2 Winner at 1
- 10:46 PMIAiamnotwhoiwas$7.03
Sold 7.03 Two Move for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move - Game 2 Winner at 1
- 10:45 PM0X0xBDD4059Cb05CeFCeEdfF0A2D0B1F5834d33B9bcD-1777385662620$259.13
Sold 259.13 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Group B at 1
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Group B"?
As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 2.5 Games at 9,995% and Ends in Daytime at 9,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $268.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
