Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs

$10 Vol
Sep 25, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Yellow Submarine 74.5%
Team Lynx 25.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,850% chance of winning. Match Winner follows in second place at 7,200%, while Game 2 Winner sits in third with 6,700%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $10, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 1 Winner (7,850%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,850¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Match Winner (7,200%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Match Winner maintains a 7,200% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,200¢.
  • Game 2 Winner (6,700%): Sitting in third place with a 6,700% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 2.5 Games (5,000%), Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Team Lynx (+1.5) (5,000%), and Ends in Daytime (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Ends in Daytime are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 1 Winner7850.0%7850¢-7750¢
2Match Winner7200.0%$3897200¢-7100¢
3Game 2 Winner6700.0%6700¢-6600¢
4O/U 2.5 Games5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Team Lynx (+1.5)5000.0%$2935000¢-4900¢
6Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Beat Roshan3350.0%3350¢-3250¢
10Both Teams Beat Roshan3350.0%3350¢-3250¢
11Both Teams Beat Roshan3350.0%3350¢-3250¢
12Both Teams Destroy Barracks3100.0%3100¢-3000¢
13Both Teams Destroy Barracks3100.0%3100¢-3000¢
14Both Teams Destroy Barracks3100.0%3100¢-3000¢
15Any Player Ultra Kill2900.0%2900¢-2800¢
16Any Player Ultra Kill2900.0%2900¢-2800¢
17Any Player Ultra Kill2900.0%2900¢-2800¢
18Any Player Rampage2600.0%$42600¢-2500¢
19Any Player Rampage2600.0%$42600¢-2500¢
20Any Player Rampage2600.0%$42600¢-2500¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket final match between Yellow Submarine and Team Lynx in the European Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine" if Yellow Submarine win the match against Team Lynx.

This market will resolve to "Team Lynx" if Team Lynx win the match against Yellow Submarine.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 8, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Game 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,850% win probability, followed by Match Winner at 7,200% and Game 2 Winner at 6,700%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $10, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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