Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs

$405.7K Vol
Sep 22, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Yellow Submarine 63.4%
Team Lynx 36.6%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 2.5 Games follows in second place at 9,995%, while Both Teams Beat Roshan sits in third with 9,850%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $405.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $211.3K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 2.5 Games maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Both Teams Beat Roshan (9,850%): Sitting in third place with a 9,850% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Beat Roshan, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Any Player Ultra Kill (9,850%), Both Teams Destroy Barracks (9,850%), and Match Winner (6,335%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Beat Roshan are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$211.3K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$2.3K9995¢-9895¢
3Both Teams Beat Roshan9850.0%$59850¢-9750¢
4Any Player Ultra Kill9850.0%9850¢-9750¢
5Both Teams Destroy Barracks9850.0%$59850¢-9750¢
6Match Winner6335.0%$84.2K6335¢-6235¢
7Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Rampage5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Rampage5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Ends in Daytime150.0%150¢-50¢
16Both Teams Destroy Barracks150.0%$5150¢-50¢
17Any Player Rampage150.0%150¢-50¢
18Ends in Daytime150.0%150¢-50¢
19Game 1 Winner5.0%$143.4K95¢
20Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Team Lynx (+1.5)5.0%$21.4K95¢
21Game Handicap: LYNX (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)5.0%$1.5K95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Quarterfinals match between Yellow Submarine and Team Lynx in the European Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine" if Yellow Submarine win the match against Team Lynx.

This market will resolve to "Team Lynx" if Team Lynx win the match against Yellow Submarine.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 21, 2026

  • 11:06 AM
    KUkuwapt
    $3.40

    Bought 5.862069 Team Lynx for Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Team Lynx (+1.5) at 0.58

  • 11:06 AM
    RARashidrush
    $38.92

    Bought 90.511628 Yellow Submarine for Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Team Lynx (+1.5) at 0.43

  • 11:01 AM
    T5t57vk6tx8rwb
    $1.06

    Bought 3.533334 Team Lynx for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs at 0.3

  • 11:01 AM
    KYkypm
    $158.33

    Bought 223 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs at 0.71

  • 10:57 AM
    E4E444KX44
    $178.20

    Bought 250.99 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs at 0.71

  • 10:57 AM
    T5t57vk6tx8rwb
    $1.18

    Bought 3.933334 Team Lynx for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs at 0.3

  • 10:11 AM
    0X0xf7FeA810d8f9823ba33537033d855b920B6fb4e9-1783375524796
    $14.20

    Bought 20 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs at 0.71

  • 10:10 AM
    0X0xf7FeA810d8f9823ba33537033d855b920B6fb4e9-1783375524796
    $35.50

    Bought 50 Yellow Submarine for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs at 0.71

  • 09:57 AM
    4848928273
    $1.00

    Bought 3.333334 Team Lynx for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs at 0.3

  • 09:39 AM
    DADamaskHoldings
    $4.93

    Bought 8.5 Team Lynx for Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Team Lynx (+1.5) at 0.58

  • 09:39 AM
    VIvibing123
    $11.60

    Bought 40 Team Lynx for Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs at 0.29

  • 09:38 AM
    NOnobody1401
    $5.00

    Bought 8.62069 Team Lynx for Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Team Lynx (+1.5) at 0.58

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

VI1
vibing123
Event PnL
+$1.29
Volume
$8,533.30
Positions
Team LynxTeam Lynx
LO2
lockin2026
Event PnL
-$61.57
Volume
$4,105.00
Positions
Yellow Submarine
413
0x41c3…9406
Event PnL
-$24.97
Volume
$1,665.00
Positions
Yellow Submarine
DR4
drunkdegenerate
Event PnL
+$8.93
Volume
$594.98
Positions
Team Lynx
FO5
forsenxd
Event PnL
-$4.59
Volume
$586.12
Positions
Yellow Submarine
NO6
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
-$2.55
Volume
$510.67
Positions
Yellow Submarine
9D7
0x9D39…6597
Event PnL
+$2.00
Volume
$400.00
Positions
Team Lynx
388
0x3858…1c29
Event PnL
-$1.67
Volume
$333.33
Positions
Team Lynx

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Game 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 2.5 Games at 9,995% and Both Teams Beat Roshan at 9,850%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $405.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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