Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B

$454.9K Vol
Nov 10, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Yellow Submarine 68.0%
LEGION 32.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Ends in Daytime follows in second place at 9,950%, while Both Teams Beat Roshan sits in third with 9,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $454.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $383.3K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Ends in Daytime (9,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Ends in Daytime maintains a 9,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,950¢.
  • Both Teams Beat Roshan (9,950%): Sitting in third place with a 9,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Beat Roshan, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? (9,950%), Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? (9,950%), and Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? (9,950%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1? are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$383.3K9995¢-9895¢
2Ends in Daytime9950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
3Both Teams Beat Roshan9950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?9950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?9950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?9950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
7Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?9950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?9950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
9Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?9950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
10Match Winner7000.0%$51.8K7000¢-6900¢
11O/U 2.5 Games5700.0%$1075700¢-5600¢
12Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
13Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs LEGION (+1.5)4300.0%$24300¢-4200¢
26Game 2 Winner4250.0%$19.3K4250¢-4150¢
27Both Teams Destroy Barracks50.0%—50¢50¢
28Any Player Ultra Kill50.0%—50¢50¢
29Any Player Rampage50.0%—50¢50¢
30Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?50.0%—50¢50¢
31Game Handicap: LEGION (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)5.0%$4045¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Yellow Submarine and LEGION in the 1win Essence Play-in Group B, initially scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine" if Yellow Submarine win the match against LEGION.

This market will resolve to "LEGION" if LEGION win the match against Yellow Submarine.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

VI1
vibing123
Event PnL
-$176.10
Volume
$12,045.28
Positions
Yellow Submarine
DI2
Dinbaba
Event PnL
+$86.86
Volume
$5,790.20
Positions
LEGION
SC3
Scole8mts
Event PnL
+$82.54
Volume
$5,502.18
Positions
LEGION
ST4
Stickman22
Event PnL
-$45.00
Volume
$2,999.99
Positions
Yellow Submarine
BA5
backagain2026
Event PnL
+$15.96
Volume
$1,578.95
Positions
LEGION
PE6
pertalite
Event PnL
+$23.20
Volume
$1,546.85
Positions
LEGION
MA7
marinbin
Event PnL
-$19.55
Volume
$1,486.56
Positions
LEGION
JU8
JuiceFarm
Event PnL
+$4.43
Volume
$1,400.00
Positions
Yellow Submarine

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B"?

As of the latest update, Game 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Ends in Daytime at 9,950% and Both Teams Beat Roshan at 9,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $454.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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