Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

$1.3M Vol
Sep 21, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Yakult Brothers 100.0%
PlayTime 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Match Winner follows in second place at 9,995%, while Game Handicap: YB (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5) sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $1.3M, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $747.4K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Match Winner (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Match Winner maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Game Handicap: YB (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5) (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game Handicap: YB (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5), treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? (9,955%), Ends in Daytime (9,850%), and Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? (9,850%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Beat Roshan are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$747.4K9995¢-9895¢
2Match Winner9995.0%$49.8K9995¢-9895¢
3Game Handicap: YB (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)9995.0%$499995¢-9895¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?9955.0%9955¢-9855¢
5Ends in Daytime9850.0%9850¢-9750¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?9850.0%9850¢-9750¢
7Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Rampage5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Rampage5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Destroy Barracks150.0%150¢-50¢
18Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?150.0%150¢-50¢
19Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?150.0%150¢-50¢
20Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?150.0%150¢-50¢
21O/U 2.5 Games5.0%$32195¢
22Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+1.5)5.0%$1895¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between Yakult Brothers and PlayTime in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yakult Brothers" if Yakult Brothers win the match against PlayTime.

This market will resolve to "PlayTime" if PlayTime win the match against Yakult Brothers.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 21, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 21, 2026

  • 10:50 AM
    KEkeviiinye
    $8.00

    Bought 16.666667 Yakult Brothers for Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage at 0.48

  • 10:46 AM
    CCcchis
    $13.00

    Bought 26 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.5

  • 10:43 AM
    0X0x591d13B5d39d33c4A8cAc4a3a7a7a75B60A0f4Df-1778770894396
    $100.00

    Bought 208.333334 Yakult Brothers for Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage at 0.48

  • 10:00 AM
    $1.00

    Bought 2.083334 Yakult Brothers for Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage at 0.48

  • 09:59 AM
    DUdumdum-bets
    $3.92

    Bought 8.16 Yakult Brothers for Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage at 0.48

  • 09:59 AM
    0X0x910aA5aC3E134d64639179dc127fAea593481aa7-1784364728780
    $18.34

    Bought 38.2 Yakult Brothers for Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage at 0.48

  • 09:59 AM
    JZJZhang01
    $5.20

    Bought 10.83 Yakult Brothers for Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage at 0.48

  • 09:58 AM
    0X0x2D1EeB1c3E188728D343635065bB9Eeee9588213-1759575731135
    $2.45

    Bought 5.104167 Yakult Brothers for Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage at 0.48

  • 09:58 AM
    HEheisenbucks
    $1.00

    Bought 2.083334 Yakult Brothers for Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage at 0.48

  • 09:58 AM
    HAhardbadger
    $1.33

    Bought 2.770834 Yakult Brothers for Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage at 0.48

  • 09:58 AM
    0X0xE1d3E9a9A5f95c537B44fdD44F2c461f9E69b8De-1773463215618
    $288.00

    Bought 600 Yakult Brothers for Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage at 0.48

  • 09:58 AM
    $10.00

    Bought 20.833334 Yakult Brothers for Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage at 0.48

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

301
300PS
Event PnL
-$3.84
Volume
$768.98
Positions
Yakult Brothers
AN2
antec
Event PnL
+$3.13
Volume
$625.05
Positions
PlayTime
UD3
udysof
Event PnL
-$3.00
Volume
$600.00
Positions
Yakult Brothers
E14
0xE1d3…5618
Event PnL
-$3.00
Volume
$600.00
Positions
Yakult Brothers
385
38791873984189
Event PnL
+$212.68
Volume
$550.45
Positions
Yakult Brothers
FO6
forsenxd
Event PnL
-$10.81
Volume
$432.26
Positions
PlayTime
AS7
astapzippo
Event PnL
+$2.11
Volume
$421.96
Positions
PlayTime
KI8
Kiyotakaya
Event PnL
+$10.72
Volume
$406.29
Positions
Yakult Brothers

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage"?

As of the latest update, Game 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Match Winner at 9,995% and Game Handicap: YB (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5) at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $1.3M, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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