Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

$978.9K Vol
Sep 26, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Xtreme Gaming 83.5%
GamerLegion 16.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,880% chance of winning. Match Winner follows in second place at 8,450%, while Game 2 Winner sits in third with 6,250%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $978.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 1 Winner (9,880%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,880¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $744.3K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Match Winner (8,450%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Match Winner maintains a 8,450% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 8,450¢.
  • Game 2 Winner (6,250%): Sitting in third place with a 6,250% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5) (6,250%), Ends in Daytime (5,000%), and Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Destroy Barracks are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 1 Winner9880.0%$744.3K9880¢-9780¢
2Match Winner8450.0%$208.9K8450¢-8350¢
3Game 2 Winner6250.0%$17.6K6250¢-6150¢
4Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)6250.0%$5.8K6250¢-6150¢
5Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26O/U 2.5 Games3700.0%$1.8K3700¢-3600¢
27Game Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)1350.0%$5101350¢-1250¢
28Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?0.0%—0¢100¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Quarterfinal 2 match between Xtreme Gaming and GamerLegion in the PGL Wallachia Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Xtreme Gaming" if Xtreme Gaming win the match against GamerLegion.

This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win the match against Xtreme Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 26, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

TY1
tyoprkg
Event PnL
-$375.00
Volume
$14,999.90
Positions
Xtreme Gaming
E12
0xE16D…0592
Event PnL
+$138.97
Volume
$12,551.11
Positions
GamerLegion
NI3
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$9.01
Volume
$10,292.00
Positions
GamerLegionXtreme Gaming
TR4
TrippleEX
Event PnL
-$50.00
Volume
$9,999.99
Positions
Xtreme Gaming
VI5
vibing123
Event PnL
+$149.45
Volume
$9,374.55
Positions
GamerLegion
CH6
Chopperyyy
Event PnL
-$138.96
Volume
$9,264.71
Positions
Xtreme Gaming
SC7
Schrodinger1887
Event PnL
+$195.38
Volume
$7,815.06
Positions
GamerLegion
JU8
justanother1
Event PnL
+$8.02
Volume
$5,335.27
Positions
OverGamerLegionGamerLegion+1

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Game 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,880% win probability, followed by Match Winner at 8,450% and Game 2 Winner at 6,250%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $978.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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