Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

$4.1K Vol
Sep 21, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Team Yandex 84.5%
Team Nemesis 15.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,450% chance of winning. Game 1 Winner follows in second place at 7,750%, while Game 2 Winner sits in third with 7,750%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $4.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (8,450%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,450¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $4.2K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game 1 Winner (7,750%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game 1 Winner maintains a 7,750% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,750¢.
  • Game 2 Winner (7,750%): Sitting in third place with a 7,750% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes First Blood in Game 1? (7,450%), Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5) (5,850%), and Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? (5,450%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Ends in Daytime are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner8450.0%$4.2K8450¢-8350¢
2Game 1 Winner7750.0%$1017750¢-7650¢
3Game 2 Winner7750.0%$227750¢-7650¢
4First Blood in Game 1?7450.0%7450¢-7350¢
5Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)5850.0%$1.6K5850¢-5750¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?5450.0%5450¢-5350¢
7Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Ends in Daytime5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Rampage5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Beat Roshan4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
16Any Player Rampage4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
17Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?3850.0%3850¢-3750¢
18O/U 2.5 Games3450.0%3450¢-3350¢
19Both Teams Beat Roshan3450.0%3450¢-3350¢
20Both Teams Destroy Barracks3150.0%3150¢-3050¢
21Both Teams Destroy Barracks3150.0%3150¢-3050¢
22First Blood in Game 2?3150.0%3150¢-3050¢
23Any Player Ultra Kill2950.0%2950¢-2850¢
24Any Player Rampage2650.0%2650¢-2550¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 2 match between Team Yandex and Team Nemesis in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win the match against Team Nemesis.

This market will resolve to "Team Nemesis" if Team Nemesis win the match against Team Yandex.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,450% win probability, followed by Game 1 Winner at 7,750% and Game 2 Winner at 7,750%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $4.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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