Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

$127.5K Vol
Oct 9, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Team Spirit 63.5%
Aurora 36.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,550% chance of winning. Game 2 Winner follows in second place at 6,100%, while Game 1 Winner sits in third with 5,750%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $127.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (6,550%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,550¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $121.1K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game 2 Winner (6,100%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game 2 Winner maintains a 6,100% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,100¢.
  • Game 1 Winner (5,750%): Sitting in third place with a 5,750% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game 1 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Ends in Daytime (5,050%), Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? (5,050%), and Ends in Daytime (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Ends in Daytime are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner6550.0%$121.1K6550¢-6450¢
2Game 2 Winner6100.0%$3466100¢-6000¢
3Game 1 Winner5750.0%$13.9K5750¢-5650¢
4Ends in Daytime5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?5050.0%$35050¢-4950¢
6Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?5000.0%$45000¢-4900¢
12O/U 2.5 Games4750.0%$2674750¢-4650¢
13Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)3700.0%$21.9K3700¢-3600¢
14Both Teams Beat Roshan3350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
15Both Teams Beat Roshan3350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
16Both Teams Beat Roshan3350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
17Both Teams Destroy Barracks3100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
18Both Teams Destroy Barracks3100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
19Both Teams Destroy Barracks3100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
20Any Player Ultra Kill2900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
21Any Player Ultra Kill2900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
22Any Player Ultra Kill2900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
23Any Player Rampage2250.0%—2250¢-2150¢
24Any Player Rampage2250.0%—2250¢-2150¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Semifinal 2 match between Team Spirit and Aurora in the BLAST Slam Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win the match against Aurora.

This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against Team Spirit.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 23, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 9, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 9, 2026

  • 02:04 AM
    POpol2131
    $1,433.64

    Bought 2077.74 Team Spirit for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs at 0.69

  • 02:00 AM
    DAdarkwhitehair
    $1.00

    Bought 1.587302 Team Spirit for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner at 0.63

  • 02:00 AM
    DAdarkwhitehair
    $1.00

    Bought 1.449274 Team Spirit for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs at 0.69

  • 02:00 AM
    DAdarkwhitehair
    $1.00

    Bought 1.639343 Team Spirit for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner at 0.61

  • 01:55 AM
    LULuckinmaside
    $5.00

    Bought 7.246377 Team Spirit for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs at 0.69

  • 01:55 AM
    BIBigABigBigA
    $20.00

    Bought 28.985506 Team Spirit for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs at 0.69

  • 01:52 AM
    0X0xcE04eaFf6D164A5D1e7aBD6029B29A6988f792BA-1777610586130
    $1.00

    Bought 1.449274 Team Spirit for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs at 0.69

  • 01:52 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $2.34

    Bought 5.71 Team Spirit for Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) at 0.41

  • 01:46 AM
    GOGodOfGambler-ChowYunFat
    $150.00

    Bought 365.853659 Team Spirit for Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) at 0.41

  • 01:39 AM
    BABayStreetBoys
    $34.50

    Bought 50 Team Spirit for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs at 0.69

  • 01:37 AM
    0X0xFdA1B96040D2D051793a27014Dc08b34aEDC06a4-1768003115671
    $15.00

    Bought 36.585366 Team Spirit for Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) at 0.41

  • 01:36 AM
    0X0x55223A5883fCF352Ee620C065F093A689102c807-1774198521129
    $9.00

    Bought 13.043477 Team Spirit for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs at 0.69

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

VE1
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$0.64
Volume
$12,665.65
Positions
AuroraAurora
SH2
shaw
Event PnL
-$129.00
Volume
$11,799.97
Positions
Aurora
VI3
vibing123
Event PnL
+$63.95
Volume
$11,048.32
Positions
AuroraAurora
EA4
0xeaA2…5989
Event PnL
-$67.17
Volume
$8,807.04
Positions
Team Spirit
FO5
forsenxd
Event PnL
+$14.11
Volume
$8,690.23
Positions
AuroraAurora
TR6
TrippleEX
Event PnL
+$95.02
Volume
$6,333.89
Positions
Team Spirit
ME7
MeiGuNiuBi
Event PnL
-$30.00
Volume
$5,999.97
Positions
Team Spirit
ZT8
ztao
Event PnL
-$68.10
Volume
$4,540.31
Positions
Team Spirit

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,550% win probability, followed by Game 2 Winner at 6,100% and Game 1 Winner at 5,750%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $127.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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